Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain analysis confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and JPMorgan cite progress on a book-style foldable display with reduced crease and iPad-like multitasking features in iOS, though minor engineering hurdles could push shipments into December. This timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall hardware cycle and positions the device as a premium differentiator against Samsung and Google foldables. Traders are monitoring production ramp-up and any last-minute delays before the expected reveal window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$162,795 Vol.
$162,795 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$162,795 Vol.
$162,795 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain analysis confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and JPMorgan cite progress on a book-style foldable display with reduced crease and iPad-like multitasking features in iOS, though minor engineering hurdles could push shipments into December. This timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall hardware cycle and positions the device as a premium differentiator against Samsung and Google foldables. Traders are monitoring production ramp-up and any last-minute delays before the expected reveal window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$162,795終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain analysis confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and JPMorgan cite progress on a book-style foldable display with reduced crease and iPad-like multitasking features in iOS, though minor engineering hurdles could push shipments into December. This timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall hardware cycle and positions the device as a premium differentiator against Samsung and Google foldables. Traders are monitoring production ramp-up and any last-minute delays before the expected reveal window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$162,795終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain analysis confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and JPMorgan cite progress on a book-style foldable display with reduced crease and iPad-like multitasking features in iOS, though minor engineering hurdles could push shipments into December. This timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall hardware cycle and positions the device as a premium differentiator against Samsung and Google foldables. Traders are monitoring production ramp-up and any last-minute delays before the expected reveal window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問