Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch, with "No" implying 78% probability, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's recent denials of delay rumors following a leaked Rockstar dev review that sparked brief third-delay fears around May 3-4. After official shifts from Fall 2025 to May 26, 2026, then November 19, the publisher has reaffirmed the date in earnings previews, citing completed polish and upcoming summer marketing—including a potential third trailer and pre-orders ahead of Take-Two's May 21 earnings call. Persistent unverified social media speculation contrasts with investor-locked expectations, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in discounting tabloid chatter absent concrete signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$262,486 Vol.
$262,486 Vol.
2026/11/19
はい
$262,486 Vol.
$262,486 Vol.
2026/11/19
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch, with "No" implying 78% probability, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's recent denials of delay rumors following a leaked Rockstar dev review that sparked brief third-delay fears around May 3-4. After official shifts from Fall 2025 to May 26, 2026, then November 19, the publisher has reaffirmed the date in earnings previews, citing completed polish and upcoming summer marketing—including a potential third trailer and pre-orders ahead of Take-Two's May 21 earnings call. Persistent unverified social media speculation contrasts with investor-locked expectations, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in discounting tabloid chatter absent concrete signals.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$262,486終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch, with "No" implying 78% probability, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's recent denials of delay rumors following a leaked Rockstar dev review that sparked brief third-delay fears around May 3-4. After official shifts from Fall 2025 to May 26, 2026, then November 19, the publisher has reaffirmed the date in earnings previews, citing completed polish and upcoming summer marketing—including a potential third trailer and pre-orders ahead of Take-Two's May 21 earnings call. Persistent unverified social media speculation contrasts with investor-locked expectations, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in discounting tabloid chatter absent concrete signals.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$262,486終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch, with "No" implying 78% probability, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's recent denials of delay rumors following a leaked Rockstar dev review that sparked brief third-delay fears around May 3-4. After official shifts from Fall 2025 to May 26, 2026, then November 19, the publisher has reaffirmed the date in earnings previews, citing completed polish and upcoming summer marketing—including a potential third trailer and pre-orders ahead of Take-Two's May 21 earnings call. Persistent unverified social media speculation contrasts with investor-locked expectations, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in discounting tabloid chatter absent concrete signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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