Recent comments from Bethesda director Todd Howard describing The Elder Scrolls VI as “still a long way off” despite solid progress have anchored trader sentiment around the 89.4% “No” odds. Official statements and leaked documents peg a 2026 launch as the absolute earliest possible window, yet the title remains in early development on Creation Engine 3 with no marketing campaign, trailer updates, or firm release date after eight years since its 2018 reveal. Phil Spencer’s prior remarks that the game follows the 2026 Fable release further signal a post-2026 timeline. Mid-2026 has brought no new announcements or major milestones, leaving the market reflecting the studio’s history of extended production cycles and the absence of typical pre-release signals needed for a year-end debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Recent comments from Bethesda director Todd Howard describing The Elder Scrolls VI as “still a long way off” despite solid progress have anchored trader sentiment around the 89.4% “No” odds. Official statements and leaked documents peg a 2026 launch as the absolute earliest possible window, yet the title remains in early development on Creation Engine 3 with no marketing campaign, trailer updates, or firm release date after eight years since its 2018 reveal. Phil Spencer’s prior remarks that the game follows the 2026 Fable release further signal a post-2026 timeline. Mid-2026 has brought no new announcements or major milestones, leaving the market reflecting the studio’s history of extended production cycles and the absence of typical pre-release signals needed for a year-end debut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$2,955終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Recent comments from Bethesda director Todd Howard describing The Elder Scrolls VI as “still a long way off” despite solid progress have anchored trader sentiment around the 89.4% “No” odds. Official statements and leaked documents peg a 2026 launch as the absolute earliest possible window, yet the title remains in early development on Creation Engine 3 with no marketing campaign, trailer updates, or firm release date after eight years since its 2018 reveal. Phil Spencer’s prior remarks that the game follows the 2026 Fable release further signal a post-2026 timeline. Mid-2026 has brought no new announcements or major milestones, leaving the market reflecting the studio’s history of extended production cycles and the absence of typical pre-release signals needed for a year-end debut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
音量
$2,955終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent comments from Bethesda director Todd Howard describing The Elder Scrolls VI as “still a long way off” despite solid progress have anchored trader sentiment around the 89.4% “No” odds. Official statements and leaked documents peg a 2026 launch as the absolute earliest possible window, yet the title remains in early development on Creation Engine 3 with no marketing campaign, trailer updates, or firm release date after eight years since its 2018 reveal. Phil Spencer’s prior remarks that the game follows the 2026 Fable release further signal a post-2026 timeline. Mid-2026 has brought no new announcements or major milestones, leaving the market reflecting the studio’s history of extended production cycles and the absence of typical pre-release signals needed for a year-end debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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