Reliable industry reporting from Bloomberg’s Jason Schreier in July 2026 placed The Elder Scrolls VI at least two to three years from completion, aligning with multiple sources projecting a 2028–2029 window at the earliest. Bethesda Game Studios shifted full production focus to the title only after Starfield’s 2023 launch on Creation Engine 3, following the pattern of extended cycles for flagship open-world RPGs. July Xbox layoffs affected the studio but left the core team and stated roadmap intact, per official statements, while executives noted the project looks strong in playable builds yet withheld any reveal until a firm launch promise could accompany it. With no new footage or accelerated milestones reported through September 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 release, though an unexpectedly swift final polish phase remains a narrow theoretical path to an earlier window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
3% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
3% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Reliable industry reporting from Bloomberg’s Jason Schreier in July 2026 placed The Elder Scrolls VI at least two to three years from completion, aligning with multiple sources projecting a 2028–2029 window at the earliest. Bethesda Game Studios shifted full production focus to the title only after Starfield’s 2023 launch on Creation Engine 3, following the pattern of extended cycles for flagship open-world RPGs. July Xbox layoffs affected the studio but left the core team and stated roadmap intact, per official statements, while executives noted the project looks strong in playable builds yet withheld any reveal until a firm launch promise could accompany it. With no new footage or accelerated milestones reported through September 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 release, though an unexpectedly swift final polish phase remains a narrow theoretical path to an earlier window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$3,417終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Reliable industry reporting from Bloomberg’s Jason Schreier in July 2026 placed The Elder Scrolls VI at least two to three years from completion, aligning with multiple sources projecting a 2028–2029 window at the earliest. Bethesda Game Studios shifted full production focus to the title only after Starfield’s 2023 launch on Creation Engine 3, following the pattern of extended cycles for flagship open-world RPGs. July Xbox layoffs affected the studio but left the core team and stated roadmap intact, per official statements, while executives noted the project looks strong in playable builds yet withheld any reveal until a firm launch promise could accompany it. With no new footage or accelerated milestones reported through September 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 release, though an unexpectedly swift final polish phase remains a narrow theoretical path to an earlier window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
音量
$3,417終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Reliable industry reporting from Bloomberg’s Jason Schreier in July 2026 placed The Elder Scrolls VI at least two to three years from completion, aligning with multiple sources projecting a 2028–2029 window at the earliest. Bethesda Game Studios shifted full production focus to the title only after Starfield’s 2023 launch on Creation Engine 3, following the pattern of extended cycles for flagship open-world RPGs. July Xbox layoffs affected the studio but left the core team and stated roadmap intact, per official statements, while executives noted the project looks strong in playable builds yet withheld any reveal until a firm launch promise could accompany it. With no new footage or accelerated milestones reported through September 2026, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 release, though an unexpectedly swift final polish phase remains a narrow theoretical path to an earlier window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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