Recent analyst reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple is developing a redesigned OLED MacBook Pro with on-cell touch technology, Dynamic Island, a reinforced hinge, and M6-series chips for late 2026 mass production. This positions the first touchscreen Mac as a Pro-line feature that integrates touch input without shifting to a touch-first macOS experience. The closely balanced 53.5% implied probability for a 2026 release reflects persistent uncertainty over potential delays to early 2027, supply-chain constraints, and Apple’s history of shifting hardware timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include spring 2026 M5 MacBook Pro refreshes, any WWDC software hints, and supply-chain updates that could confirm or push back the OLED touchscreen models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$31,015 Vol.
$31,015 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$31,015 Vol.
$31,015 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple is developing a redesigned OLED MacBook Pro with on-cell touch technology, Dynamic Island, a reinforced hinge, and M6-series chips for late 2026 mass production. This positions the first touchscreen Mac as a Pro-line feature that integrates touch input without shifting to a touch-first macOS experience. The closely balanced 53.5% implied probability for a 2026 release reflects persistent uncertainty over potential delays to early 2027, supply-chain constraints, and Apple’s history of shifting hardware timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include spring 2026 M5 MacBook Pro refreshes, any WWDC software hints, and supply-chain updates that could confirm or push back the OLED touchscreen models.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
音量
$31,015終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple is developing a redesigned OLED MacBook Pro with on-cell touch technology, Dynamic Island, a reinforced hinge, and M6-series chips for late 2026 mass production. This positions the first touchscreen Mac as a Pro-line feature that integrates touch input without shifting to a touch-first macOS experience. The closely balanced 53.5% implied probability for a 2026 release reflects persistent uncertainty over potential delays to early 2027, supply-chain constraints, and Apple’s history of shifting hardware timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include spring 2026 M5 MacBook Pro refreshes, any WWDC software hints, and supply-chain updates that could confirm or push back the OLED touchscreen models.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$31,015終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent analyst reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple is developing a redesigned OLED MacBook Pro with on-cell touch technology, Dynamic Island, a reinforced hinge, and M6-series chips for late 2026 mass production. This positions the first touchscreen Mac as a Pro-line feature that integrates touch input without shifting to a touch-first macOS experience. The closely balanced 53.5% implied probability for a 2026 release reflects persistent uncertainty over potential delays to early 2027, supply-chain constraints, and Apple’s history of shifting hardware timelines. Key upcoming catalysts include spring 2026 M5 MacBook Pro refreshes, any WWDC software hints, and supply-chain updates that could confirm or push back the OLED touchscreen models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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