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icon for OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?

OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?

icon for OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?

OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?

はい

16% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

16% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated proof establishing statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, complete with a publicly verifiable Lean formalization, has anchored trader sentiment against retraction. The company deployed thousands of agents over 88 hours on an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, then spent additional compute confirming the result, while explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Emerging questions around priority with concurrent human-AI work by mathematicians at NYU and Anthropic, plus data-use concerns, have sparked debate but center on credit and methodology rather than outright invalidity. With independent verification now possible and no demonstrated errors in the core construction, the 87% “No” odds reflect consensus that the published artifact will stand through 2026 absent major new contradictions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).

A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated proof establishing statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, complete with a publicly verifiable Lean formalization, has anchored trader sentiment against retraction. The company deployed thousands of agents over 88 hours on an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, then spent additional compute confirming the result, while explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Emerging questions around priority with concurrent human-AI work by mathematicians at NYU and Anthropic, plus data-use concerns, have sparked debate but center on credit and methodology rather than outright invalidity. With independent verification now possible and no demonstrated errors in the core construction, the 87% “No” odds reflect consensus that the published artifact will stand through 2026 absent major new contradictions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).

A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「OpenAIは2026年にナビエ-ストークス方程式の解の発表を撤回しますか?」で16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、16¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に16%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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「OpenAIは2026年にNavier - Stokesソリューションを撤回しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「OpenAIは2026年にナビエ-ストークス方程式の解の発表を撤回しますか?」で16%であり、市場がこの結果に16%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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