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icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

12月 31

12月 31

60% 確率
Polymarket

$26,200 Vol.

60% 確率
Polymarket

$26,200 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$26,200
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$26,200
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して60%です。例えば、「はい」が60¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を60%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?」は$26.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して60%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を60%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。