Z.ai (Zhipu AI) has iterated rapidly on its GLM flagship series, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026—the day before the current date. Each update emphasizes post-training gains for agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and CyberGym, with GLM-5.3 using the same 743B-parameter base as its predecessor but scaled reinforcement learning. The company routinely open-sources weights under MIT license on Hugging Face shortly after API rollout, while maintaining a 1M-token context window and compatibility with tools like Claude Code. Release cadence of roughly six to eight weeks, combined with ongoing competition against OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, shapes trader expectations around the timing and leadership for GLM-5.4 or later versions. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conference announcements or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
52%
10月31日
70%
$2,378 Vol.
9月30日
$538 Vol.
52%
10月31日
$1,840 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (Zhipu AI) has iterated rapidly on its GLM flagship series, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026—the day before the current date. Each update emphasizes post-training gains for agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and CyberGym, with GLM-5.3 using the same 743B-parameter base as its predecessor but scaled reinforcement learning. The company routinely open-sources weights under MIT license on Hugging Face shortly after API rollout, while maintaining a 1M-token context window and compatibility with tools like Claude Code. Release cadence of roughly six to eight weeks, combined with ongoing competition against OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, shapes trader expectations around the timing and leadership for GLM-5.4 or later versions. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conference announcements or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$2,378終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (Zhipu AI) has iterated rapidly on its GLM flagship series, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026—the day before the current date. Each update emphasizes post-training gains for agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and CyberGym, with GLM-5.3 using the same 743B-parameter base as its predecessor but scaled reinforcement learning. The company routinely open-sources weights under MIT license on Hugging Face shortly after API rollout, while maintaining a 1M-token context window and compatibility with tools like Claude Code. Release cadence of roughly six to eight weeks, combined with ongoing competition against OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, shapes trader expectations around the timing and leadership for GLM-5.4 or later versions. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conference announcements or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,378終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Z.ai (Zhipu AI) has iterated rapidly on its GLM flagship series, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, and GLM-5.3 on August 14, 2026—the day before the current date. Each update emphasizes post-training gains for agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and CyberGym, with GLM-5.3 using the same 743B-parameter base as its predecessor but scaled reinforcement learning. The company routinely open-sources weights under MIT license on Hugging Face shortly after API rollout, while maintaining a 1M-token context window and compatibility with tools like Claude Code. Release cadence of roughly six to eight weeks, combined with ongoing competition against OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, shapes trader expectations around the timing and leadership for GLM-5.4 or later versions. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conference announcements or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay the next iteration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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