Databricks' closely matched Polymarket odds across $150B–$450B+ closing market-cap bands underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and reception, as the company raised $5 billion at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 on a $7 billion annualized revenue run-rate expanding more than 80% year-over-year with adjusted free cash flow positive. CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger listings like SpaceX have deferred any S-1 filing, allowing continued private capital raises that set a high valuation floor while limiting near-term public-market catalysts. Trader consensus prices in robust AI-driven growth and enterprise metrics—such as over 1,000 $1 million+ customers—against risks of a compressed 2027 IPO multiple if equity markets weaken or competition from Snowflake intensifies, with the 23.5% probability of no listing by end-2027 reflecting execution flexibility in a capital-rich private environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル 95%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 95%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル 94%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル 93%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1500億ドル未満
-
1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル
-
2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル
95%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
95%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
94%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
93%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
-
4,500億ドル以上
-
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
24%
2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル 95%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル 95%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル 94%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル 93%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
1500億ドル未満
$18 Vol.
-
1,500億ドル〜2,000億ドル
$18 Vol.
-
2,000億ドル～2,500億ドル
$18 Vol.
95%
2,500億ドル〜3,000億ドル
$18 Vol.
95%
3,000億ドル～3,500億ドル
$18 Vol.
94%
3,500億ドル～4,000億ドル
$18 Vol.
93%
4,000億ドル〜4,500億ドル
$18 Vol.
-
4,500億ドル以上
$18 Vol.
-
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$272 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched Polymarket odds across $150B–$450B+ closing market-cap bands underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and reception, as the company raised $5 billion at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 on a $7 billion annualized revenue run-rate expanding more than 80% year-over-year with adjusted free cash flow positive. CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger listings like SpaceX have deferred any S-1 filing, allowing continued private capital raises that set a high valuation floor while limiting near-term public-market catalysts. Trader consensus prices in robust AI-driven growth and enterprise metrics—such as over 1,000 $1 million+ customers—against risks of a compressed 2027 IPO multiple if equity markets weaken or competition from Snowflake intensifies, with the 23.5% probability of no listing by end-2027 reflecting execution flexibility in a capital-rich private environment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
音量
$416終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched Polymarket odds across $150B–$450B+ closing market-cap bands underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and reception, as the company raised $5 billion at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 on a $7 billion annualized revenue run-rate expanding more than 80% year-over-year with adjusted free cash flow positive. CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger listings like SpaceX have deferred any S-1 filing, allowing continued private capital raises that set a high valuation floor while limiting near-term public-market catalysts. Trader consensus prices in robust AI-driven growth and enterprise metrics—such as over 1,000 $1 million+ customers—against risks of a compressed 2027 IPO multiple if equity markets weaken or competition from Snowflake intensifies, with the 23.5% probability of no listing by end-2027 reflecting execution flexibility in a capital-rich private environment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$416終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' closely matched Polymarket odds across $150B–$450B+ closing market-cap bands underscore uncertainty in IPO timing and reception, as the company raised $5 billion at a $190 billion valuation in August 2026 on a $7 billion annualized revenue run-rate expanding more than 80% year-over-year with adjusted free cash flow positive. CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger listings like SpaceX have deferred any S-1 filing, allowing continued private capital raises that set a high valuation floor while limiting near-term public-market catalysts. Trader consensus prices in robust AI-driven growth and enterprise metrics—such as over 1,000 $1 million+ customers—against risks of a compressed 2027 IPO multiple if equity markets weaken or competition from Snowflake intensifies, with the 23.5% probability of no listing by end-2027 reflecting execution flexibility in a capital-rich private environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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