NVIDIA's fiscal Q2 earnings release on August 26 anchors trader positioning for the Aug 24 week close, with guidance of $91 billion revenue and 75% gross margins setting a high bar amid expectations for modest beats on data-center demand. Current share prices near $215 reflect recent pressure from rising Treasury yields and a multi-day selloff, yet strong analyst targets above $300 and partnerships expanding AI infrastructure financing support broader optimism. The tightly matched probabilities across ranges from below $195 to above $240 underscore event-driven volatility, as options markets price in potential 6% swings post-earnings while macro rate sensitivity and Blackwell transition timelines remain key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$195 50%
$200-$205 50%
$205-$210 50%
$230-$235 50%
<$195
50%
$195-$200
49%
$200-$205
50%
$205-$210
50%
$210-$215
48%
$215-$220
46%
$220-$225
48%
$225-$230
49%
$230-$235
50%
$235-$240
48%
>$240
50%
<$195 50%
$200-$205 50%
$205-$210 50%
$230-$235 50%
<$195
50%
$195-$200
49%
$200-$205
50%
$205-$210
50%
$210-$215
48%
$215-$220
46%
$220-$225
48%
$225-$230
49%
$230-$235
50%
$235-$240
48%
>$240
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
NVIDIA's fiscal Q2 earnings release on August 26 anchors trader positioning for the Aug 24 week close, with guidance of $91 billion revenue and 75% gross margins setting a high bar amid expectations for modest beats on data-center demand. Current share prices near $215 reflect recent pressure from rising Treasury yields and a multi-day selloff, yet strong analyst targets above $300 and partnerships expanding AI infrastructure financing support broader optimism. The tightly matched probabilities across ranges from below $195 to above $240 underscore event-driven volatility, as options markets price in potential 6% swings post-earnings while macro rate sensitivity and Blackwell transition timelines remain key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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