Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 2026 FOMC meeting reflects the Federal Reserve’s steady policy stance amid resilient economic data. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, supported by core CPI inflation near 2.6% as of March and a labor market showing steady job gains with unemployment around 4.3%. Recent communications and market-implied odds align with holding rates, as inflation has not cooled sufficiently for cuts while growth avoids recessionary signals. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI and employment reports due June 10, followed by the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or labor market softening could still introduce volatility into July expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 93%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 5.5%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 1.9%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$7,596,678 Vol.
$7,596,678 Vol.
2026/07/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
1%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
2%
変更なし
93%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
6%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
<1%
変更なし 93%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 5.5%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 1.9%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$7,596,678 Vol.
$7,596,678 Vol.
2026/07/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$989,017 Vol.
1%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
$764,549 Vol.
2%
変更なし
$960,743 Vol.
93%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
$3,789,089 Vol.
6%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
$1,093,300 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 2026 FOMC meeting reflects the Federal Reserve’s steady policy stance amid resilient economic data. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, supported by core CPI inflation near 2.6% as of March and a labor market showing steady job gains with unemployment around 4.3%. Recent communications and market-implied odds align with holding rates, as inflation has not cooled sufficiently for cuts while growth avoids recessionary signals. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI and employment reports due June 10, followed by the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or labor market softening could still introduce volatility into July expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
音量
$7,596,678終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 2026 FOMC meeting reflects the Federal Reserve’s steady policy stance amid resilient economic data. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, supported by core CPI inflation near 2.6% as of March and a labor market showing steady job gains with unemployment around 4.3%. Recent communications and market-implied odds align with holding rates, as inflation has not cooled sufficiently for cuts while growth avoids recessionary signals. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI and employment reports due June 10, followed by the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or labor market softening could still introduce volatility into July expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$7,596,678終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 2026 FOMC meeting reflects the Federal Reserve’s steady policy stance amid resilient economic data. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, supported by core CPI inflation near 2.6% as of March and a labor market showing steady job gains with unemployment around 4.3%. Recent communications and market-implied odds align with holding rates, as inflation has not cooled sufficiently for cuts while growth avoids recessionary signals. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI and employment reports due June 10, followed by the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or labor market softening could still introduce volatility into July expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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