Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party maintains a dominant position in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by roughly eight to twelve points while outpacing all other declared candidates. Recent Liberal Party and Mission Party conventions formalized Bolsonaro and Renan Santos as nominees, reinforcing the two-candidate structure visible in Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest surveys through late July. A May-June audio scandal involving Bolsonaro temporarily elevated his rejection rating, yet it has not altered his standing as the clear opposition frontrunner. Lula’s stable 40-plus percent first-round support, combined with elevated undecided shares near 10 percent, leaves limited room for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema to close the gap before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 81%
レナン・サントス 8.4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,380,747 Vol.
$4,380,747 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
81%
レナン・サントス
8%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 81%
レナン・サントス 8.4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,380,747 Vol.
$4,380,747 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$216,831 Vol.
81%
レナン・サントス
$1,088,345 Vol.
8%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$143,199 Vol.
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
$96,192 Vol.
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$686,706 Vol.
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$340,826 Vol.
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$120,630 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$190,280 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$122,434 Vol.
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$291,121 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$95,371 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$55,923 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$663,226 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$148,331 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$64,943 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,960 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,428 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party maintains a dominant position in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by roughly eight to twelve points while outpacing all other declared candidates. Recent Liberal Party and Mission Party conventions formalized Bolsonaro and Renan Santos as nominees, reinforcing the two-candidate structure visible in Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest surveys through late July. A May-June audio scandal involving Bolsonaro temporarily elevated his rejection rating, yet it has not altered his standing as the clear opposition frontrunner. Lula’s stable 40-plus percent first-round support, combined with elevated undecided shares near 10 percent, leaves limited room for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema to close the gap before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$4,380,747終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party maintains a dominant position in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by roughly eight to twelve points while outpacing all other declared candidates. Recent Liberal Party and Mission Party conventions formalized Bolsonaro and Renan Santos as nominees, reinforcing the two-candidate structure visible in Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest surveys through late July. A May-June audio scandal involving Bolsonaro temporarily elevated his rejection rating, yet it has not altered his standing as the clear opposition frontrunner. Lula’s stable 40-plus percent first-round support, combined with elevated undecided shares near 10 percent, leaves limited room for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema to close the gap before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,380,747終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party maintains a dominant position in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by roughly eight to twelve points while outpacing all other declared candidates. Recent Liberal Party and Mission Party conventions formalized Bolsonaro and Renan Santos as nominees, reinforcing the two-candidate structure visible in Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest surveys through late July. A May-June audio scandal involving Bolsonaro temporarily elevated his rejection rating, yet it has not altered his standing as the clear opposition frontrunner. Lula’s stable 40-plus percent first-round support, combined with elevated undecided shares near 10 percent, leaves limited room for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema to close the gap before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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