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icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位

icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 79%

レナン・サントス 9.0%

ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.8%

カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,378,086 Vol.

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 79%

レナン・サントス 9.0%

ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.8%

カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,378,086 Vol.

icon for フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

$215,560 Vol.

79%

icon for レナン・サントス

レナン・サントス

$1,088,187 Vol.

9%

icon for ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ

ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ

$142,782 Vol.

9%

icon for カミロ・サンタナ

カミロ・サンタナ

$96,157 Vol.

1%

icon for フェルナンド・ハダジ

フェルナンド・ハダジ

$686,696 Vol.

1%

icon for ロナルド・カイアド

ロナルド・カイアド

$340,811 Vol.

1%

icon for ミシェル・ボルソナロ

ミシェル・ボルソナロ

$120,456 Vol.

1%

icon for タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

$190,261 Vol.

1%

icon for ジャイール・ボルソナロ

ジャイール・ボルソナロ

$122,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for ロメウ・ゼマ

ロメウ・ゼマ

$290,881 Vol.

<1%

icon for エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

$95,334 Vol.

<1%

icon for アルド・ヘベロ

アルド・ヘベロ

$55,913 Vol.

<1%

icon for ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

$663,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジェラウド・アルキミン

ジェラウド・アルキミン

$148,101 Vol.

<1%

icon for エドゥアルド・レイチ

エドゥアルド・レイチ

$64,933 Vol.

<1%

icon for エルデル・バルバリョ

エルデル・バルバリョ

$20,960 Vol.

<1%

icon for テレーザ・クリスティナ

テレーザ・クリスティナ

$35,410 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party as the primary right-wing standard-bearer has anchored trader consensus around his second-place finish in the October 2026 first round. Recent polls consistently place him behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but well ahead of other contenders, including newly nominated Mission Party candidate Renan Santos. Lula’s modest polling dip since early 2026 and Flávio’s recovery after May audio leaks tied to a banking scandal have reinforced this positioning. Market pricing reflects the structural advantage of the Bolsonaro family brand and party machinery in consolidating opposition votes, while lower probabilities for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado or Tarcísio de Freitas highlight the absence of viable alternative challengers on the right. Scheduled party conventions and ongoing economic indicators remain the next near-term catalysts.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,378,086
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party as the primary right-wing standard-bearer has anchored trader consensus around his second-place finish in the October 2026 first round. Recent polls consistently place him behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but well ahead of other contenders, including newly nominated Mission Party candidate Renan Santos. Lula’s modest polling dip since early 2026 and Flávio’s recovery after May audio leaks tied to a banking scandal have reinforced this positioning. Market pricing reflects the structural advantage of the Bolsonaro family brand and party machinery in consolidating opposition votes, while lower probabilities for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado or Tarcísio de Freitas highlight the absence of viable alternative challengers on the right. Scheduled party conventions and ongoing economic indicators remain the next near-term catalysts.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,378,086
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ」で79%、次いで「レナン・サントス」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、79¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に79%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位」は$4.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ」で79%であり、市場がこの結果に79%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「レナン・サントス」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。