Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 81%
レナン・サントス 8.5%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,380,435 Vol.
$4,380,435 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
81%
レナン・サントス
9%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 81%
レナン・サントス 8.5%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,380,435 Vol.
$4,380,435 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$216,820 Vol.
81%
レナン・サントス
$1,088,330 Vol.
9%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$143,189 Vol.
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
$96,177 Vol.
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$686,696 Vol.
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$340,811 Vol.
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$120,620 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$190,265 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$122,419 Vol.
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$291,106 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,428 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$95,356 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$55,913 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$663,226 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$148,185 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$64,933 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,960 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$4,380,435終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,380,435終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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