Trader consensus assigns Flávio Bolsonaro the strongest position for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his established role within opposition parties and family political network following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Lula da Silva’s incumbency and re-election bid anchor the leading outcome, while lower probabilities for Renan Santos, Camilo Santana, and Fernando Haddad track limited polling traction and party fragmentation. Scheduled conventions, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in economic indicators or approval ratings through September remain key variables that could alter these implied probabilities before the October first-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 80%
レナン・サントス 8.6%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.4%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,378,595 Vol.
$4,378,595 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
80%
レナン・サントス
9%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 80%
レナン・サントス 8.6%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.4%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,378,595 Vol.
$4,378,595 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$215,713 Vol.
80%
レナン・サントス
$1,088,328 Vol.
9%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$142,823 Vol.
8%
カミロ・サンタナ
$96,158 Vol.
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$686,696 Vol.
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$340,811 Vol.
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$120,458 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$190,261 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$122,419 Vol.
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$290,957 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,421 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$95,334 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$55,913 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$663,226 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$148,185 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$64,933 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,960 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus assigns Flávio Bolsonaro the strongest position for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his established role within opposition parties and family political network following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Lula da Silva’s incumbency and re-election bid anchor the leading outcome, while lower probabilities for Renan Santos, Camilo Santana, and Fernando Haddad track limited polling traction and party fragmentation. Scheduled conventions, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in economic indicators or approval ratings through September remain key variables that could alter these implied probabilities before the October first-round vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$4,378,595終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus assigns Flávio Bolsonaro the strongest position for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his established role within opposition parties and family political network following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Lula da Silva’s incumbency and re-election bid anchor the leading outcome, while lower probabilities for Renan Santos, Camilo Santana, and Fernando Haddad track limited polling traction and party fragmentation. Scheduled conventions, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in economic indicators or approval ratings through September remain key variables that could alter these implied probabilities before the October first-round vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,378,595終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Flávio Bolsonaro the strongest position for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his established role within opposition parties and family political network following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Lula da Silva’s incumbency and re-election bid anchor the leading outcome, while lower probabilities for Renan Santos, Camilo Santana, and Fernando Haddad track limited polling traction and party fragmentation. Scheduled conventions, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in economic indicators or approval ratings through September remain key variables that could alter these implied probabilities before the October first-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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