Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while all other declared candidates remain in single digits. His nomination was formalized at the party convention in late July, consolidating right-wing backing as the designated standard-bearer for the movement previously led by his father. Lula’s own first-round numbers hover near 40 percent, leaving limited room for challengers such as Renan Santos or Ronaldo Caiado to break into the top two. Ongoing campaign positioning, including alliance-building in key states, has not yet altered this ordering in surveys released in the final week of July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 80%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.8%
レナン・サントス 6.9%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,378,478 Vol.
$4,378,478 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
80%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
9%
レナン・サントス
7%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 80%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.8%
レナン・サントス 6.9%
カミロ・サンタナ 1.2%
$4,378,478 Vol.
$4,378,478 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$215,713 Vol.
80%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$142,787 Vol.
9%
レナン・サントス
$1,088,246 Vol.
7%
カミロ・サンタナ
$96,158 Vol.
1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$686,696 Vol.
1%
ロナルド・カイアド
$340,811 Vol.
1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$120,458 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$190,261 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$122,419 Vol.
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$290,957 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,421 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$95,334 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$55,913 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$663,226 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$148,185 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$64,933 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,960 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while all other declared candidates remain in single digits. His nomination was formalized at the party convention in late July, consolidating right-wing backing as the designated standard-bearer for the movement previously led by his father. Lula’s own first-round numbers hover near 40 percent, leaving limited room for challengers such as Renan Santos or Ronaldo Caiado to break into the top two. Ongoing campaign positioning, including alliance-building in key states, has not yet altered this ordering in surveys released in the final week of July.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$4,378,478終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while all other declared candidates remain in single digits. His nomination was formalized at the party convention in late July, consolidating right-wing backing as the designated standard-bearer for the movement previously led by his father. Lula’s own first-round numbers hover near 40 percent, leaving limited room for challengers such as Renan Santos or Ronaldo Caiado to break into the top two. Ongoing campaign positioning, including alliance-building in key states, has not yet altered this ordering in surveys released in the final week of July.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,378,478終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places the Liberal Party senator behind only incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with support in the low-to-mid 30s while all other declared candidates remain in single digits. His nomination was formalized at the party convention in late July, consolidating right-wing backing as the designated standard-bearer for the movement previously led by his father. Lula’s own first-round numbers hover near 40 percent, leaving limited room for challengers such as Renan Santos or Ronaldo Caiado to break into the top two. Ongoing campaign positioning, including alliance-building in key states, has not yet altered this ordering in surveys released in the final week of July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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