The Liberal Party (PL) holds overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting across states and the Federal District. PL benefits from its existing 16-seat bloc, extensive candidate recruitment including high-profile figures such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and favorable state-level polling that projects 20 or more seats. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy supplies potential coattails in right-leaning states, while allied center-right parties trail in projections. PT and other opposition groups remain distant amid a fragmented field, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PL 90%
MDB 2.5%
UNIÃO 2.2%
NOVO 2.1%
$52,957 Vol.
$52,957 Vol.
2026/10/03
PL
90%
MDB
2%
UNIÃO
2%
NOVO
2%
PP
1%
PSD
1%
PSDB
1%
PDT
1%
PT
<1%
ポデモス
<1%
共和党
<1%
PSB
<1%
PL 90%
MDB 2.5%
UNIÃO 2.2%
NOVO 2.1%
$52,957 Vol.
$52,957 Vol.
2026/10/03
PL
$35,721 Vol.
90%
MDB
$1,353 Vol.
2%
UNIÃO
$1,007 Vol.
2%
NOVO
$1,118 Vol.
2%
PP
$1,800 Vol.
1%
PSD
$1,272 Vol.
1%
PSDB
$1,165 Vol.
1%
PDT
$4,775 Vol.
1%
PT
$1,176 Vol.
<1%
ポデモス
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
共和党
$931 Vol.
<1%
PSB
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The Liberal Party (PL) holds overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting across states and the Federal District. PL benefits from its existing 16-seat bloc, extensive candidate recruitment including high-profile figures such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and favorable state-level polling that projects 20 or more seats. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy supplies potential coattails in right-leaning states, while allied center-right parties trail in projections. PT and other opposition groups remain distant amid a fragmented field, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks before the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$52,957終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The Liberal Party (PL) holds overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting across states and the Federal District. PL benefits from its existing 16-seat bloc, extensive candidate recruitment including high-profile figures such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and favorable state-level polling that projects 20 or more seats. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy supplies potential coattails in right-leaning states, while allied center-right parties trail in projections. PT and other opposition groups remain distant amid a fragmented field, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks before the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
音量
$52,957終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Liberal Party (PL) holds overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting across states and the Federal District. PL benefits from its existing 16-seat bloc, extensive candidate recruitment including high-profile figures such as Michelle and Carlos Bolsonaro, and favorable state-level polling that projects 20 or more seats. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy supplies potential coattails in right-leaning states, while allied center-right parties trail in projections. PT and other opposition groups remain distant amid a fragmented field, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問