The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his May 2026 mayoral victory. Centre-left parties have consolidated behind independent cardiologist Frank Benedetto, whose hospital leadership and prior local role provide a unified “campo largo” platform. The centre-right fields Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli backed by the FI-FdI-Lega coalition, while Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano further fragment right-leaning support. Trader pricing reflects this split on the right, Benedetto’s consolidated backing, and the short campaign window ahead of voting across 71 municipalities, leaving room for last-minute turnout or alliance shifts to alter the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フランク・ベネデット 57%
ファビオ・ロッショーリ 40%
ドメニコ・ジャンネッタ 25%
フランチェスコ・トスカーノ 17%

フランク・ベネデット
57%

ファビオ・ロッショーリ
40%

ドメニコ・ジャンネッタ
25%

フランチェスコ・トスカーノ
17%
フランク・ベネデット 57%
ファビオ・ロッショーリ 40%
ドメニコ・ジャンネッタ 25%
フランチェスコ・トスカーノ 17%

フランク・ベネデット
57%

ファビオ・ロッショーリ
40%

ドメニコ・ジャンネッタ
25%

フランチェスコ・トスカーノ
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his May 2026 mayoral victory. Centre-left parties have consolidated behind independent cardiologist Frank Benedetto, whose hospital leadership and prior local role provide a unified “campo largo” platform. The centre-right fields Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli backed by the FI-FdI-Lega coalition, while Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano further fragment right-leaning support. Trader pricing reflects this split on the right, Benedetto’s consolidated backing, and the short campaign window ahead of voting across 71 municipalities, leaving room for last-minute turnout or alliance shifts to alter the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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