Skip to main content
icon for Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者

icon for Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者

プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 43%

スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 43%

ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 43%

ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 43%

Polymarket
新規

プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 43%

スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 43%

ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 43%

ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 43%

Polymarket
新規
icon for プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ

プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ

スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア

ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ

ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ

$0 Vol.

43%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu and independent winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai has reset the contest under Samoa’s Electoral Act provisions on party-switching and electoral petitions. With the seat now vacant again ahead of a fresh poll, trader odds remain tightly clustered near even money across a broad field of independents and party nominees. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of a dominant frontrunner, lingering effects of prior party-hopping dynamics between FAST and HRPP, and local priorities such as constituency development funding. Upcoming candidate nominations, campaign spending disclosures, and any further court rulings could shift probabilities by clarifying the viable contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu and independent winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai has reset the contest under Samoa’s Electoral Act provisions on party-switching and electoral petitions. With the seat now vacant again ahead of a fresh poll, trader odds remain tightly clustered near even money across a broad field of independents and party nominees. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of a dominant frontrunner, lingering effects of prior party-hopping dynamics between FAST and HRPP, and local priorities such as constituency development funding. Upcoming candidate nominations, campaign spending disclosures, and any further court rulings could shift probabilities by clarifying the viable contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

関連

icon for タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥはファレアリリ1の補欠選挙で勝つでしょうか？

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥはファレアリリ1の補欠選挙で勝つでしょうか？

28%
はい
icon for Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

62%
icon for アプビエノタイス・サラクス（AS）は2026年のラトビア議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか？

アプビエノタイス・サラクス（AS）は2026年のラトビア議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか？

75%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ」で44%、次いで「スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Vaimauga 3補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。