Recent polling trends position Apvienotais saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Saeima election, with consistent leads or ties near 11-17% support that have translated into the highest implied probability among traders. LPV maintains second place through sustained populist backing, while SV, PRO, and NA trail in competitive ranges that reflect fragmented voter preferences and the 5% threshold dynamics. The incumbent JV has seen support erode amid coalition instability and prior government reshuffles, limiting its current standing. No single party is projected to secure a majority, underscoring the role of post-election coalition negotiations in determining the largest bloc. These market prices align closely with SKDS and other July surveys showing AS momentum over the past three months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 52.4%
LPV 17%
SV 10.0%
PRO 6.3%
$175,451 Vol.
$175,451 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
58%
LPV
17%
SV
10%
PRO
6%
JV
3%
NA
2%
ZZS
1%
S
<1%
ST！
<1%
AS 52.4%
LPV 17%
SV 10.0%
PRO 6.3%
$175,451 Vol.
$175,451 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$28,729 Vol.
58%
LPV
$21,400 Vol.
17%
SV
$18,970 Vol.
10%
PRO
$28,332 Vol.
6%
JV
$11,641 Vol.
3%
NA
$7,381 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$52,274 Vol.
1%
S
$3,820 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$2,904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Saeima election, with consistent leads or ties near 11-17% support that have translated into the highest implied probability among traders. LPV maintains second place through sustained populist backing, while SV, PRO, and NA trail in competitive ranges that reflect fragmented voter preferences and the 5% threshold dynamics. The incumbent JV has seen support erode amid coalition instability and prior government reshuffles, limiting its current standing. No single party is projected to secure a majority, underscoring the role of post-election coalition negotiations in determining the largest bloc. These market prices align closely with SKDS and other July surveys showing AS momentum over the past three months.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$175,451終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Saeima election, with consistent leads or ties near 11-17% support that have translated into the highest implied probability among traders. LPV maintains second place through sustained populist backing, while SV, PRO, and NA trail in competitive ranges that reflect fragmented voter preferences and the 5% threshold dynamics. The incumbent JV has seen support erode amid coalition instability and prior government reshuffles, limiting its current standing. No single party is projected to secure a majority, underscoring the role of post-election coalition negotiations in determining the largest bloc. These market prices align closely with SKDS and other July surveys showing AS momentum over the past three months.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$175,451終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position Apvienotais saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Saeima election, with consistent leads or ties near 11-17% support that have translated into the highest implied probability among traders. LPV maintains second place through sustained populist backing, while SV, PRO, and NA trail in competitive ranges that reflect fragmented voter preferences and the 5% threshold dynamics. The incumbent JV has seen support erode amid coalition instability and prior government reshuffles, limiting its current standing. No single party is projected to secure a majority, underscoring the role of post-election coalition negotiations in determining the largest bloc. These market prices align closely with SKDS and other July surveys showing AS momentum over the past three months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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