**AS leads the race for the most seats in Latvia’s 3 October Saeima election, with recent polls showing it at roughly 23% support, well ahead of SV, LPV, PRO, and NA.** The United List (Apvienotais Saraksts) gained momentum after Andris Kulbergs of AS became prime minister in late May 2026 following the prior coalition’s collapse over security and drone-incursion disputes. Its regionalist and green-conservative platform has resonated in local strongholds, while New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines in voter intentions. With the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, the current polling gap positions AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest parliamentary group in the eyes of prediction-market traders. Late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still narrow margins, but no other list has mounted a sustained challenge in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 87.5%
SV 5.8%
LPV 4.2%
PRO 3.6%
$222,721 Vol.
$222,721 Vol.
2026/10/02
AS
88%
SV
6%
LPV
4%
PRO
4%
JV
<1%
NA
<1%
ZZS
<1%
ST！
<1%
S
<1%
AS 87.5%
SV 5.8%
LPV 4.2%
PRO 3.6%
$222,721 Vol.
$222,721 Vol.
2026/10/02
AS
$43,802 Vol.
88%
SV
$28,486 Vol.
6%
LPV
$26,932 Vol.
4%
PRO
$31,815 Vol.
4%
JV
$13,864 Vol.
<1%
NA
$10,451 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$55,648 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$4,974 Vol.
<1%
S
$6,748 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads the race for the most seats in Latvia’s 3 October Saeima election, with recent polls showing it at roughly 23% support, well ahead of SV, LPV, PRO, and NA.** The United List (Apvienotais Saraksts) gained momentum after Andris Kulbergs of AS became prime minister in late May 2026 following the prior coalition’s collapse over security and drone-incursion disputes. Its regionalist and green-conservative platform has resonated in local strongholds, while New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines in voter intentions. With the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, the current polling gap positions AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest parliamentary group in the eyes of prediction-market traders. Late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still narrow margins, but no other list has mounted a sustained challenge in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$222,721終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads the race for the most seats in Latvia’s 3 October Saeima election, with recent polls showing it at roughly 23% support, well ahead of SV, LPV, PRO, and NA.** The United List (Apvienotais Saraksts) gained momentum after Andris Kulbergs of AS became prime minister in late May 2026 following the prior coalition’s collapse over security and drone-incursion disputes. Its regionalist and green-conservative platform has resonated in local strongholds, while New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines in voter intentions. With the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, the current polling gap positions AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest parliamentary group in the eyes of prediction-market traders. Late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still narrow margins, but no other list has mounted a sustained challenge in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$222,721終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**AS leads the race for the most seats in Latvia’s 3 October Saeima election, with recent polls showing it at roughly 23% support, well ahead of SV, LPV, PRO, and NA.** The United List (Apvienotais Saraksts) gained momentum after Andris Kulbergs of AS became prime minister in late May 2026 following the prior coalition’s collapse over security and drone-incursion disputes. Its regionalist and green-conservative platform has resonated in local strongholds, while New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines in voter intentions. With the 5% threshold and proportional allocation across five constituencies, the current polling gap positions AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest parliamentary group in the eyes of prediction-market traders. Late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still narrow margins, but no other list has mounted a sustained challenge in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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