Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting its status as the largest opposition bloc after the May 2026 collapse of the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition and the subsequent nomination of its leader Andris Kulbergs to form a new government. Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trails in second place amid sustained support for its populist platform, while Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) compete for third amid voter fragmentation. The governing New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines tied to public dissatisfaction with economic and security management. These dynamics align with current market pricing, where trader consensus assigns AS the highest implied probability of securing the most seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 56.3%
LPV 20%
SV 10.8%
PRO 4.9%
$178,253 Vol.
$178,253 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
56%
LPV
20%
SV
11%
PRO
5%
NA
2%
JV
1%
ZZS
<1%
ST！
<1%
S
<1%
AS 56.3%
LPV 20%
SV 10.8%
PRO 4.9%
$178,253 Vol.
$178,253 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$29,823 Vol.
56%
LPV
$21,539 Vol.
20%
SV
$20,046 Vol.
11%
PRO
$28,407 Vol.
5%
NA
$7,446 Vol.
2%
JV
$11,707 Vol.
1%
ZZS
$52,384 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$3,017 Vol.
<1%
S
$3,885 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting its status as the largest opposition bloc after the May 2026 collapse of the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition and the subsequent nomination of its leader Andris Kulbergs to form a new government. Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trails in second place amid sustained support for its populist platform, while Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) compete for third amid voter fragmentation. The governing New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines tied to public dissatisfaction with economic and security management. These dynamics align with current market pricing, where trader consensus assigns AS the highest implied probability of securing the most seats.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$178,253終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting its status as the largest opposition bloc after the May 2026 collapse of the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition and the subsequent nomination of its leader Andris Kulbergs to form a new government. Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trails in second place amid sustained support for its populist platform, while Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) compete for third amid voter fragmentation. The governing New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines tied to public dissatisfaction with economic and security management. These dynamics align with current market pricing, where trader consensus assigns AS the highest implied probability of securing the most seats.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$178,253終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting its status as the largest opposition bloc after the May 2026 collapse of the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition and the subsequent nomination of its leader Andris Kulbergs to form a new government. Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) trails in second place amid sustained support for its populist platform, while Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) compete for third amid voter fragmentation. The governing New Unity (JV) has seen sharp declines tied to public dissatisfaction with economic and security management. These dynamics align with current market pricing, where trader consensus assigns AS the highest implied probability of securing the most seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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