AS (Apvienotais saraksts) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election due to its role in the current caretaker government formed in late May after the prior coalition collapsed amid drone incidents and security tensions. Recent June polling shows AS at 17.1%, ahead of LPV, SV, and other parties in a fragmented field where multiple groups hover near or above the 5% threshold. The incumbent prime minister's visibility, combined with the four-party coalition's parliamentary majority, has supported AS momentum in the final campaign stretch. LPV and SV trail as competitive challengers in voter surveys, while smaller lists face steeper barriers to leading seat totals. Scheduled advance voting and manual ballot counting add procedural focus but have not shifted the overall positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 52.4%
LPV 18%
SV 10.3%
PRO 6.3%
$175,511 Vol.
$175,511 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
59%
LPV
18%
SV
10%
PRO
6%
JV
2%
NA
2%
ZZS
1%
S
<1%
ST！
<1%
AS 52.4%
LPV 18%
SV 10.3%
PRO 6.3%
$175,511 Vol.
$175,511 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$28,789 Vol.
59%
LPV
$21,400 Vol.
18%
SV
$18,970 Vol.
10%
PRO
$28,332 Vol.
6%
JV
$11,641 Vol.
2%
NA
$7,381 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$52,274 Vol.
1%
S
$3,820 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$2,904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS (Apvienotais saraksts) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election due to its role in the current caretaker government formed in late May after the prior coalition collapsed amid drone incidents and security tensions. Recent June polling shows AS at 17.1%, ahead of LPV, SV, and other parties in a fragmented field where multiple groups hover near or above the 5% threshold. The incumbent prime minister's visibility, combined with the four-party coalition's parliamentary majority, has supported AS momentum in the final campaign stretch. LPV and SV trail as competitive challengers in voter surveys, while smaller lists face steeper barriers to leading seat totals. Scheduled advance voting and manual ballot counting add procedural focus but have not shifted the overall positioning.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$175,511終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS (Apvienotais saraksts) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election due to its role in the current caretaker government formed in late May after the prior coalition collapsed amid drone incidents and security tensions. Recent June polling shows AS at 17.1%, ahead of LPV, SV, and other parties in a fragmented field where multiple groups hover near or above the 5% threshold. The incumbent prime minister's visibility, combined with the four-party coalition's parliamentary majority, has supported AS momentum in the final campaign stretch. LPV and SV trail as competitive challengers in voter surveys, while smaller lists face steeper barriers to leading seat totals. Scheduled advance voting and manual ballot counting add procedural focus but have not shifted the overall positioning.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$175,511終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AS (Apvienotais saraksts) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election due to its role in the current caretaker government formed in late May after the prior coalition collapsed amid drone incidents and security tensions. Recent June polling shows AS at 17.1%, ahead of LPV, SV, and other parties in a fragmented field where multiple groups hover near or above the 5% threshold. The incumbent prime minister's visibility, combined with the four-party coalition's parliamentary majority, has supported AS momentum in the final campaign stretch. LPV and SV trail as competitive challengers in voter surveys, while smaller lists face steeper barriers to leading seat totals. Scheduled advance voting and manual ballot counting add procedural focus but have not shifted the overall positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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