The tight three-way contest among the Left (Linke), CDU, and AfD for the top positions in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election leaves third place highly uncertain. Recent Civey, Forsa, and INSA surveys show the Left holding a narrow lead near 20 percent, with the CDU and AfD within two points behind, while the Greens sit further back around 15-17 percent. This positioning makes AfD the traders' consensus favorite for third place, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, with smaller parties such as the SPD far behind. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voter groups or minor changes in the top-three ordering could still alter the final ranking before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 40%
グリューネ 28%
CDU 26%
リンク 9%
$24,835 Vol.
$24,835 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
40%
グリューネ
28%
CDU
26%
リンク
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 40%
グリューネ 28%
CDU 26%
リンク 9%
$24,835 Vol.
$24,835 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
$6,039 Vol.
40%
グリューネ
$3,894 Vol.
28%
CDU
$6,201 Vol.
26%
リンク
$4,838 Vol.
9%
SPD
$1,567 Vol.
3%
FDP
$888 Vol.
<1%
FW
$620 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$789 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
The tight three-way contest among the Left (Linke), CDU, and AfD for the top positions in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election leaves third place highly uncertain. Recent Civey, Forsa, and INSA surveys show the Left holding a narrow lead near 20 percent, with the CDU and AfD within two points behind, while the Greens sit further back around 15-17 percent. This positioning makes AfD the traders' consensus favorite for third place, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, with smaller parties such as the SPD far behind. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voter groups or minor changes in the top-three ordering could still alter the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
音量
$24,835終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
The tight three-way contest among the Left (Linke), CDU, and AfD for the top positions in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election leaves third place highly uncertain. Recent Civey, Forsa, and INSA surveys show the Left holding a narrow lead near 20 percent, with the CDU and AfD within two points behind, while the Greens sit further back around 15-17 percent. This positioning makes AfD the traders' consensus favorite for third place, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, with smaller parties such as the SPD far behind. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voter groups or minor changes in the top-three ordering could still alter the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$24,835終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The tight three-way contest among the Left (Linke), CDU, and AfD for the top positions in Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election leaves third place highly uncertain. Recent Civey, Forsa, and INSA surveys show the Left holding a narrow lead near 20 percent, with the CDU and AfD within two points behind, while the Greens sit further back around 15-17 percent. This positioning makes AfD the traders' consensus favorite for third place, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, with smaller parties such as the SPD far behind. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key voter groups or minor changes in the top-three ordering could still alter the final ranking before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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