Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a tight three-way contest for first and second between the Linke, CDU, and AfD, leaving third place highly sensitive to small vote swings among the remaining parties. The Greens have held steady in the mid-teens while the AfD has posted gains that place it near the leaders in several surveys, yet all established parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. With the five-percent threshold in play and roughly a dozen lists competing, modest shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could reorder the middle of the field. Traders appear to price the AfD as the most likely third-place finisher on the basis of its upward trajectory, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, reflecting the narrow gaps visible in the latest Civey, Forsa, and Infratest dimap results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 38%
グリューネ 28%
CDU 28%
リンク 10%
$24,912 Vol.
$24,912 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
38%
グリューネ
28%
CDU
28%
リンク
10%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 38%
グリューネ 28%
CDU 28%
リンク 10%
$24,912 Vol.
$24,912 Vol.
2026/09/20
AfD
$6,086 Vol.
38%
グリューネ
$3,894 Vol.
28%
CDU
$6,201 Vol.
28%
リンク
$4,868 Vol.
10%
SPD
$1,567 Vol.
3%
FDP
$888 Vol.
<1%
FW
$620 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$789 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a tight three-way contest for first and second between the Linke, CDU, and AfD, leaving third place highly sensitive to small vote swings among the remaining parties. The Greens have held steady in the mid-teens while the AfD has posted gains that place it near the leaders in several surveys, yet all established parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. With the five-percent threshold in play and roughly a dozen lists competing, modest shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could reorder the middle of the field. Traders appear to price the AfD as the most likely third-place finisher on the basis of its upward trajectory, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, reflecting the narrow gaps visible in the latest Civey, Forsa, and Infratest dimap results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
音量
$24,912終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a tight three-way contest for first and second between the Linke, CDU, and AfD, leaving third place highly sensitive to small vote swings among the remaining parties. The Greens have held steady in the mid-teens while the AfD has posted gains that place it near the leaders in several surveys, yet all established parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. With the five-percent threshold in play and roughly a dozen lists competing, modest shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could reorder the middle of the field. Traders appear to price the AfD as the most likely third-place finisher on the basis of its upward trajectory, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, reflecting the narrow gaps visible in the latest Civey, Forsa, and Infratest dimap results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$24,912終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a tight three-way contest for first and second between the Linke, CDU, and AfD, leaving third place highly sensitive to small vote swings among the remaining parties. The Greens have held steady in the mid-teens while the AfD has posted gains that place it near the leaders in several surveys, yet all established parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. With the five-percent threshold in play and roughly a dozen lists competing, modest shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could reorder the middle of the field. Traders appear to price the AfD as the most likely third-place finisher on the basis of its upward trajectory, followed closely by the Greens and CDU, reflecting the narrow gaps visible in the latest Civey, Forsa, and Infratest dimap results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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