Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats, has maintained stability through mid-2026 with no reported confidence votes, coalition fractures, or parliamentary gridlock. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected September 2026 security agreement with Denmark and the United States on Arctic and North Atlantic defense that explicitly recognizes Greenlandic self-determination, along with EU investment commitments, has reinforced the administration’s external position and reduced immediate pressures that historically prompt snap elections. With the next regular vote scheduled for 2029 and no procedural triggers or public statements from party leaders indicating an early contest, traders assess the probability of a snap election being called by December 31 as low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
14% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats, has maintained stability through mid-2026 with no reported confidence votes, coalition fractures, or parliamentary gridlock. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected September 2026 security agreement with Denmark and the United States on Arctic and North Atlantic defense that explicitly recognizes Greenlandic self-determination, along with EU investment commitments, has reinforced the administration’s external position and reduced immediate pressures that historically prompt snap elections. With the next regular vote scheduled for 2029 and no procedural triggers or public statements from party leaders indicating an early contest, traders assess the probability of a snap election being called by December 31 as low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
音量
$1,341終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats, has maintained stability through mid-2026 with no reported confidence votes, coalition fractures, or parliamentary gridlock. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected September 2026 security agreement with Denmark and the United States on Arctic and North Atlantic defense that explicitly recognizes Greenlandic self-determination, along with EU investment commitments, has reinforced the administration’s external position and reduced immediate pressures that historically prompt snap elections. With the next regular vote scheduled for 2029 and no procedural triggers or public statements from party leaders indicating an early contest, traders assess the probability of a snap election being called by December 31 as low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,341終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Greenland’s current coalition government, formed after the March 2025 Inatsisartut election under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats, has maintained stability through mid-2026 with no reported confidence votes, coalition fractures, or parliamentary gridlock. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected September 2026 security agreement with Denmark and the United States on Arctic and North Atlantic defense that explicitly recognizes Greenlandic self-determination, along with EU investment commitments, has reinforced the administration’s external position and reduced immediate pressures that historically prompt snap elections. With the next regular vote scheduled for 2029 and no procedural triggers or public statements from party leaders indicating an early contest, traders assess the probability of a snap election being called by December 31 as low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問