United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 97.4%
新しい人々（NL） 1.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） <1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$2,886,749 Vol.
$2,886,749 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
97%
新しい人々（NL）
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
<1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
ロジナ
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 97.4%
新しい人々（NL） 1.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） <1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$2,886,749 Vol.
$2,886,749 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$718,558 Vol.
97%
新しい人々（NL）
$115,292 Vol.
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$132,315 Vol.
<1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$160,254 Vol.
<1%
ロジナ
$482,340 Vol.
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$580,595 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
$697,395 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$2,886,749終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$2,886,749終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, combined with systematic exclusion of independent opposition and tight control over the electoral process. Recent preparations include the Central Election Commission’s confirmation of multi-day voting and integration of constituencies in occupied Ukrainian territories, while legislation passed by the current Duma has emphasized support for defense and national projects. Other registered parties remain either aligned with official positions or too weak to clear meaningful thresholds, as seen in prior regional votes where United Russia secured dominant results amid documented irregularities and restricted candidate access. Realistic challenges would require unprecedented shifts such as major war developments altering domestic priorities, internal elite fractures, or last-minute institutional changes, though these remain low-probability given the managed political environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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