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政治·LA

ロサンゼルス市長選挙

icon for ロサンゼルス市長選挙
政治·LA

ロサンゼルス市長選挙

Polymarket

$13,577,308 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,577,308 Vol.

icon for カレン・バス

カレン・バス

$901,365 Vol.

66%

icon for ニティヤ・ラマン

ニティヤ・ラマン

$1,529,603 Vol.

30%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a leading position in the November 3, 2026, runoff due to her established name recognition, broad coalition support, and record of advancing certain homelessness and public safety measures, even as voter frustration persists over the 2025 wildfires and ongoing city challenges. City Councilmember Nithya Raman, who advanced from the June primary after edging out other contenders, draws from progressive voters and has focused on greater accountability for homelessness spending. A recent flashpoint emerged in early September when Raman criticized Bass’s oversight of the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority and pledged to redirect control to City Hall, while Bass prepares to step down from the agency commission amid questions about attendance and systemic effectiveness. Trader consensus reflects Bass’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic electorate heading into the final weeks.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
音量
$13,577,308
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a leading position in the November 3, 2026, runoff due to her established name recognition, broad coalition support, and record of advancing certain homelessness and public safety measures, even as voter frustration persists over the 2025 wildfires and ongoing city challenges. City Councilmember Nithya Raman, who advanced from the June primary after edging out other contenders, draws from progressive voters and has focused on greater accountability for homelessness spending. A recent flashpoint emerged in early September when Raman criticized Bass’s oversight of the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority and pledged to redirect control to City Hall, while Bass prepares to step down from the agency commission amid questions about attendance and systemic effectiveness. Trader consensus reflects Bass’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic electorate heading into the final weeks.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
音量
$13,577,308
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

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よくある質問

「ロサンゼルス市長選挙」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カレン・バス」で66%、次いで「ニティヤ・ラマン」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、66¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に66%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ロサンゼルス市長選挙」は$13.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 9, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ロサンゼルス市長選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ロサンゼルス市長選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「カレン・バス」で66%であり、市場がこの結果に66%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ニティヤ・ラマン」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ロサンゼルス市長選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。