Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a narrow lead over Republican Mike Rogers among likely voters in Michigan’s open Senate race, with most surveys from mid-September placing El-Sayed at 47-48 percent and Rogers at 45-46 percent. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive August primary, while Rogers ran unopposed on the Republican side. The contest remains one of the few open Democratic seats in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election, with traders assigning El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on current head-to-head data and fundraising patterns. Two scheduled October debates and continued outside spending on both sides represent the next potential catalysts before early voting begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$868,103 Vol.
$868,103 Vol.
2026/11/02
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
68%
マイク・ロジャーズ（共和党）
33%
$868,103 Vol.
$868,103 Vol.
2026/11/02
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
$491,821 Vol.
68%
マイク・ロジャーズ（共和党）
$383,484 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a narrow lead over Republican Mike Rogers among likely voters in Michigan’s open Senate race, with most surveys from mid-September placing El-Sayed at 47-48 percent and Rogers at 45-46 percent. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive August primary, while Rogers ran unopposed on the Republican side. The contest remains one of the few open Democratic seats in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election, with traders assigning El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on current head-to-head data and fundraising patterns. Two scheduled October debates and continued outside spending on both sides represent the next potential catalysts before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$868,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a narrow lead over Republican Mike Rogers among likely voters in Michigan’s open Senate race, with most surveys from mid-September placing El-Sayed at 47-48 percent and Rogers at 45-46 percent. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive August primary, while Rogers ran unopposed on the Republican side. The contest remains one of the few open Democratic seats in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election, with traders assigning El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on current head-to-head data and fundraising patterns. Two scheduled October debates and continued outside spending on both sides represent the next potential catalysts before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$868,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a narrow lead over Republican Mike Rogers among likely voters in Michigan’s open Senate race, with most surveys from mid-September placing El-Sayed at 47-48 percent and Rogers at 45-46 percent. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive August primary, while Rogers ran unopposed on the Republican side. The contest remains one of the few open Democratic seats in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election, with traders assigning El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on current head-to-head data and fundraising patterns. Two scheduled October debates and continued outside spending on both sides represent the next potential catalysts before early voting begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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