Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 4 primary with 48.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew earlier. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Gary Peters’ retirement created the vacancy, turning the November 3 general election into a contest for an open seat that could influence Senate majority control. Traders assign El-Sayed the lead at 60% implied probability, reflecting post-primary Democratic consolidation efforts and his positioning in a battleground state, while Rogers holds 41% amid his prior narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition. The race remains closely watched due to Michigan’s swing-state dynamics and limited polling data since the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$270,639 Vol.
$270,639 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
60%
共和党
41%
$270,639 Vol.
$270,639 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$144,192 Vol.
60%
共和党
$126,448 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 4 primary with 48.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew earlier. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Gary Peters’ retirement created the vacancy, turning the November 3 general election into a contest for an open seat that could influence Senate majority control. Traders assign El-Sayed the lead at 60% implied probability, reflecting post-primary Democratic consolidation efforts and his positioning in a battleground state, while Rogers holds 41% amid his prior narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition. The race remains closely watched due to Michigan’s swing-state dynamics and limited polling data since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$270,639終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 4 primary with 48.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew earlier. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Gary Peters’ retirement created the vacancy, turning the November 3 general election into a contest for an open seat that could influence Senate majority control. Traders assign El-Sayed the lead at 60% implied probability, reflecting post-primary Democratic consolidation efforts and his positioning in a battleground state, while Rogers holds 41% amid his prior narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition. The race remains closely watched due to Michigan’s swing-state dynamics and limited polling data since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$270,639終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 4 primary with 48.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew earlier. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Gary Peters’ retirement created the vacancy, turning the November 3 general election into a contest for an open seat that could influence Senate majority control. Traders assign El-Sayed the lead at 60% implied probability, reflecting post-primary Democratic consolidation efforts and his positioning in a battleground state, while Rogers holds 41% amid his prior narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition. The race remains closely watched due to Michigan’s swing-state dynamics and limited polling data since the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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