Recent primary results have locked in the general election matchup between Republican incumbent Susan Collins, seeking a sixth term, and Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination with 72% after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Recent polls from late May and early June show Platner holding slim leads or statistical ties, with margins under 5 points amid Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight Republican tilt, citing Collins’ appropriations influence and cross-aisle record alongside Platner’s veteran background and progressive endorsements. Trader consensus for a Democratic win appears to incorporate the state’s partisan trends and Collins’ history of tight victories, though external factors such as national midterm dynamics and candidate controversies could still shift probabilities before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$489,240 Vol.
$489,240 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
67%
共和党
35%
$489,240 Vol.
$489,240 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$292,973 Vol.
67%
共和党
$196,266 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent primary results have locked in the general election matchup between Republican incumbent Susan Collins, seeking a sixth term, and Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination with 72% after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Recent polls from late May and early June show Platner holding slim leads or statistical ties, with margins under 5 points amid Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight Republican tilt, citing Collins’ appropriations influence and cross-aisle record alongside Platner’s veteran background and progressive endorsements. Trader consensus for a Democratic win appears to incorporate the state’s partisan trends and Collins’ history of tight victories, though external factors such as national midterm dynamics and candidate controversies could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$489,240終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent primary results have locked in the general election matchup between Republican incumbent Susan Collins, seeking a sixth term, and Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination with 72% after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Recent polls from late May and early June show Platner holding slim leads or statistical ties, with margins under 5 points amid Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight Republican tilt, citing Collins’ appropriations influence and cross-aisle record alongside Platner’s veteran background and progressive endorsements. Trader consensus for a Democratic win appears to incorporate the state’s partisan trends and Collins’ history of tight victories, though external factors such as national midterm dynamics and candidate controversies could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$489,240終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primary results have locked in the general election matchup between Republican incumbent Susan Collins, seeking a sixth term, and Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination with 72% after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Recent polls from late May and early June show Platner holding slim leads or statistical ties, with margins under 5 points amid Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or slight Republican tilt, citing Collins’ appropriations influence and cross-aisle record alongside Platner’s veteran background and progressive endorsements. Trader consensus for a Democratic win appears to incorporate the state’s partisan trends and Collins’ history of tight victories, though external factors such as national midterm dynamics and candidate controversies could still shift probabilities before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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