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icon for メイン州上院選挙の勝者
政治·メイン州中間選考

メイン州上院選挙の勝者

icon for メイン州上院選挙の勝者
政治·メイン州中間選考

メイン州上院選挙の勝者

Polymarket

$1,355,569 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,355,569 Vol.

icon for トロイ・ジャクソン（民主党）

トロイ・ジャクソン（民主党）

$810,391 Vol.

71%

icon for スーザン・コリンズ（共和党）

スーザン・コリンズ（共和党）

$545,178 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Troy Jackson leads trader consensus in the Maine Senate race primarily because recent polling aggregates show him ahead of incumbent Susan Collins by roughly 2-3 points in a state that backed Kamala Harris in 2024. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after original primary winner Graham Platner withdrew amid sexual assault allegations, consolidating progressive support and avoiding a prolonged primary fight. Collins faces headwinds from her long tenure and perceived ties to national Republican priorities, though she retains advantages in fundraising and crossover appeal among independents and moderates. The race remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters, with key factors including turnout among working-class voters and the effectiveness of Democratic messaging on economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$1,355,569
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Troy Jackson leads trader consensus in the Maine Senate race primarily because recent polling aggregates show him ahead of incumbent Susan Collins by roughly 2-3 points in a state that backed Kamala Harris in 2024. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after original primary winner Graham Platner withdrew amid sexual assault allegations, consolidating progressive support and avoiding a prolonged primary fight. Collins faces headwinds from her long tenure and perceived ties to national Republican priorities, though she retains advantages in fundraising and crossover appeal among independents and moderates. The race remains rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters, with key factors including turnout among working-class voters and the effectiveness of Democratic messaging on economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$1,355,569
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

関連

icon for 2026年のマサチューセッツ州上院選で民主党が勝利しますか？

2026年のマサチューセッツ州上院選で民主党が勝利しますか？

98%
はい
icon for 2026年のミシガン州上院選挙で民主党は勝利するか？

2026年のミシガン州上院選挙で民主党は勝利するか？

62%
はい
icon for 2026年のニューハンプシャー州上院選挙で民主党が勝利しますか？

2026年のニューハンプシャー州上院選挙で民主党が勝利しますか？

82%
はい

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よくある質問

「メイン州上院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トロイ・ジャクソン（民主党）」で71%、次いで「スーザン・コリンズ（共和党）」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「メイン州上院選挙の勝者」は$1.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「メイン州上院選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「メイン州上院選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「トロイ・ジャクソン（民主党）」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「スーザン・コリンズ（共和党）」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「メイン州上院選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。