Multiple open Senate seats and shifting race ratings have intensified focus on a handful of battlegrounds ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent updates from the Cook Political Report moved New Hampshire into toss-up territory after Republican John Sununu narrowed the contest against Democrat Chris Pappas. Analysts highlight competitive dynamics in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis; Maine, pitting Republican Susan Collins against Democrat Troy Jackson; Michigan’s open race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers; plus contests in Georgia, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, and Iowa. Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and strong fundraising in several Republican-held states have kept these margins tight according to recent polling averages, with turnout patterns and late-cycle national conditions likely determining which finish within narrow ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$65,730 Vol.
2026/11/03
テキサス州
80%
アラスカ州
70%
アイオワ
69%
Kansas
73%
ミシガン州
57%
オハイオ（特別）
56%
ネブラスカ州
44%
メイン州
41%
ニューハンプシャー州
37%
ノースカロライナ州
28%
フロリダ（特別）
25%
ミネソタ州
23%
ジョージア州
20%
ニューメキシコ州
13%
モンタナ
11%
バージニア州
4%
コロラド州
3%
South Carolina
57%
$65,730 Vol.
テキサス州
$7,420 Vol.
80%
アラスカ州
$2,853 Vol.
70%
アイオワ
$5,880 Vol.
69%
Kansas
$571 Vol.
73%
ミシガン州
$3,054 Vol.
57%
オハイオ（特別）
$3,969 Vol.
56%
ネブラスカ州
$3,809 Vol.
44%
メイン州
$1,119 Vol.
41%
ニューハンプシャー州
$2,422 Vol.
37%
ノースカロライナ州
$5,817 Vol.
28%
フロリダ（特別）
$2,450 Vol.
25%
ミネソタ州
$10,399 Vol.
23%
ジョージア州
$2,057 Vol.
20%
ニューメキシコ州
$6,665 Vol.
13%
モンタナ
$3,190 Vol.
11%
バージニア州
$1,344 Vol.
4%
コロラド州
$2,599 Vol.
3%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
57%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple open Senate seats and shifting race ratings have intensified focus on a handful of battlegrounds ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent updates from the Cook Political Report moved New Hampshire into toss-up territory after Republican John Sununu narrowed the contest against Democrat Chris Pappas. Analysts highlight competitive dynamics in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis; Maine, pitting Republican Susan Collins against Democrat Troy Jackson; Michigan’s open race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers; plus contests in Georgia, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, and Iowa. Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and strong fundraising in several Republican-held states have kept these margins tight according to recent polling averages, with turnout patterns and late-cycle national conditions likely determining which finish within narrow ranges.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$65,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple open Senate seats and shifting race ratings have intensified focus on a handful of battlegrounds ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent updates from the Cook Political Report moved New Hampshire into toss-up territory after Republican John Sununu narrowed the contest against Democrat Chris Pappas. Analysts highlight competitive dynamics in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis; Maine, pitting Republican Susan Collins against Democrat Troy Jackson; Michigan’s open race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers; plus contests in Georgia, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, and Iowa. Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and strong fundraising in several Republican-held states have kept these margins tight according to recent polling averages, with turnout patterns and late-cycle national conditions likely determining which finish within narrow ranges.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$65,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Multiple open Senate seats and shifting race ratings have intensified focus on a handful of battlegrounds ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent updates from the Cook Political Report moved New Hampshire into toss-up territory after Republican John Sununu narrowed the contest against Democrat Chris Pappas. Analysts highlight competitive dynamics in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis; Maine, pitting Republican Susan Collins against Democrat Troy Jackson; Michigan’s open race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers; plus contests in Georgia, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, and Iowa. Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and strong fundraising in several Republican-held states have kept these margins tight according to recent polling averages, with turnout patterns and late-cycle national conditions likely determining which finish within narrow ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問