Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority as of September 2026, with John Thune as majority leader, but lack the 60 votes needed for cloture on most legislation. President Trump has repeatedly urged the party to invoke the nuclear option to eliminate the legislative filibuster and advance priorities such as budget measures and regulatory changes. Thune has publicly stated that only roughly half of Republican senators support ending the filibuster, citing concerns that Democrats would exploit the change upon regaining control for items like state admissions or court packing. In 2025, the GOP already applied a narrower rules change via majority vote to enable en bloc confirmation of certain executive nominees. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session afterward represent key windows where Senate composition or procedural pressure could shift the odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$560,728 Vol.
2026/03/30
2026年12月31日
6%
$560,728 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$5,766 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority as of September 2026, with John Thune as majority leader, but lack the 60 votes needed for cloture on most legislation. President Trump has repeatedly urged the party to invoke the nuclear option to eliminate the legislative filibuster and advance priorities such as budget measures and regulatory changes. Thune has publicly stated that only roughly half of Republican senators support ending the filibuster, citing concerns that Democrats would exploit the change upon regaining control for items like state admissions or court packing. In 2025, the GOP already applied a narrower rules change via majority vote to enable en bloc confirmation of certain executive nominees. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session afterward represent key windows where Senate composition or procedural pressure could shift the odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$560,728終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority as of September 2026, with John Thune as majority leader, but lack the 60 votes needed for cloture on most legislation. President Trump has repeatedly urged the party to invoke the nuclear option to eliminate the legislative filibuster and advance priorities such as budget measures and regulatory changes. Thune has publicly stated that only roughly half of Republican senators support ending the filibuster, citing concerns that Democrats would exploit the change upon regaining control for items like state admissions or court packing. In 2025, the GOP already applied a narrower rules change via majority vote to enable en bloc confirmation of certain executive nominees. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session afterward represent key windows where Senate composition or procedural pressure could shift the odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
音量
$560,728終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority as of September 2026, with John Thune as majority leader, but lack the 60 votes needed for cloture on most legislation. President Trump has repeatedly urged the party to invoke the nuclear option to eliminate the legislative filibuster and advance priorities such as budget measures and regulatory changes. Thune has publicly stated that only roughly half of Republican senators support ending the filibuster, citing concerns that Democrats would exploit the change upon regaining control for items like state admissions or court packing. In 2025, the GOP already applied a narrower rules change via majority vote to enable en bloc confirmation of certain executive nominees. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any lame-duck session afterward represent key windows where Senate composition or procedural pressure could shift the odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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