High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億500万〜1億1,000万 30%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 15%
1億1500万～1億2000万 15%
1億1000万～1億1500万 10%
$10,330 Vol.
$10,330 Vol.
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
1%
1億〜1億500万
3%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
30%
1億1000万～1億1500万
10%
1億1500万～1億2000万
15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
15%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
8%
1億3,000万以上
4%
1億500万〜1億1,000万 30%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 15%
1億1500万～1億2000万 15%
1億1000万～1億1500万 10%
$10,330 Vol.
$10,330 Vol.
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$460 Vol.
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
$496 Vol.
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,635 Vol.
1%
9,500万〜1億
$315 Vol.
1%
1億〜1億500万
$850 Vol.
3%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$833 Vol.
30%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$673 Vol.
10%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,152 Vol.
15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$1,818 Vol.
15%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,373 Vol.
8%
1億3,000万以上
$726 Vol.
4%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$10,330終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$10,330終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-stakes competition for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, is sustaining elevated engagement expectations among traders. Narrow Republican majorities, Democratic polling advantages, special election overperformance by Democrats, and ongoing redistricting battles have nationalized the contest, while primary turnout signals and youth registration trends point to stronger mobilization than typical off-year patterns. Historical midterm turnout of roughly 100-115 million votes, tempered by lower participation without a presidential ballot, anchors the market's clustering around 120-130 million as the leading range. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and messaging on economic and policy issues could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas weaker base mobilization on either side might pull totals lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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