Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億2500万〜1億3000万 22%
1億1500万~1億2000万 20%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 19%
1億〜1億500万 12.3%
$25,661 Vol.
$25,661 Vol.
8,500万未満
1%
8,500万~9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
2%
9,500万〜1億
6%
1億〜1億500万
12%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
6%
1億1000万~1億1500万
12%
1億1500万~1億2000万
20%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
19%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
22%
1億3,000万以上
7%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 22%
1億1500万~1億2000万 20%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 19%
1億〜1億500万 12.3%
$25,661 Vol.
$25,661 Vol.
8,500万未満
1%
8,500万~9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
2%
9,500万〜1億
6%
1億〜1億500万
12%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
6%
1億1000万~1億1500万
12%
1億1500万~1億2000万
20%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
19%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
22%
1億3,000万以上
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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