Democratic enthusiasm edges ahead in recent national polling, driven by opposition to the Trump administration's policies and approval ratings near historic midterm lows, while Republican motivation lags absent a presidential contest on the ballot. This dynamic sustains trader focus on the 115-130 million vote range, consistent with elevated 2018-2022 midterm benchmarks yet tempered by typical off-year drop-off. Redistricting shifts in several states, generic ballot trends, and early youth engagement signals add uncertainty, with mobilization efforts and economic sentiment likely to determine whether turnout separates toward the higher or lower end of current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,500万未満 26.7%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 15%
1億1500万~1億2000万 14%
1億1000万~1億1500万 13%
8,500万未満
27%
8,500万~9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
3%
1億〜1億500万
6%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
10%
1億1000万~1億1500万
19%
1億1500万~1億2000万
32%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
37%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
20%
1億3,000万以上
29%
8,500万未満 26.7%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 15%
1億1500万~1億2000万 14%
1億1000万~1億1500万 13%
8,500万未満
27%
8,500万~9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
3%
1億〜1億500万
6%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
10%
1億1000万~1億1500万
19%
1億1500万~1億2000万
32%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
37%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
20%
1億3,000万以上
29%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Democratic enthusiasm edges ahead in recent national polling, driven by opposition to the Trump administration's policies and approval ratings near historic midterm lows, while Republican motivation lags absent a presidential contest on the ballot. This dynamic sustains trader focus on the 115-130 million vote range, consistent with elevated 2018-2022 midterm benchmarks yet tempered by typical off-year drop-off. Redistricting shifts in several states, generic ballot trends, and early youth engagement signals add uncertainty, with mobilization efforts and economic sentiment likely to determine whether turnout separates toward the higher or lower end of current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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