Trader consensus centers on 115-130 million House votes in November 2026, reflecting historical midterm participation near 45-50 percent of the voting-eligible population. Recent Democratic primary surges, including record turnout in North Carolina, signal stronger base mobilization on one side, while Republican primary figures lag prior cycles. Generic ballot polling shows a modest Democratic edge consistent with the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, alongside ongoing redistricting and a competitive national environment that could sustain engagement. Highly educated voters, who now lean Democratic, tend to participate reliably in off-year contests, supporting the cluster around 120-125 million as the leading range. No major shifts from these patterns have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億3,000万以上 44%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 37%
1億1500万～1億2000万 22%
1億1000万～1億1500万 16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
3%
1億〜1億500万
4%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
6%
1億1000万～1億1500万
16%
1億1500万～1億2000万
22%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
37%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
14%
1億3,000万以上
27%
1億3,000万以上 44%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 37%
1億1500万～1億2000万 22%
1億1000万～1億1500万 16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$371 Vol.
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
$419 Vol.
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,552 Vol.
1%
9,500万〜1億
$269 Vol.
3%
1億〜1億500万
$809 Vol.
4%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$436 Vol.
6%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$526 Vol.
16%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,025 Vol.
22%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$408 Vol.
37%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,204 Vol.
14%
1億3,000万以上
$318 Vol.
27%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus centers on 115-130 million House votes in November 2026, reflecting historical midterm participation near 45-50 percent of the voting-eligible population. Recent Democratic primary surges, including record turnout in North Carolina, signal stronger base mobilization on one side, while Republican primary figures lag prior cycles. Generic ballot polling shows a modest Democratic edge consistent with the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, alongside ongoing redistricting and a competitive national environment that could sustain engagement. Highly educated voters, who now lean Democratic, tend to participate reliably in off-year contests, supporting the cluster around 120-125 million as the leading range. No major shifts from these patterns have emerged in recent months.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$7,335終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus centers on 115-130 million House votes in November 2026, reflecting historical midterm participation near 45-50 percent of the voting-eligible population. Recent Democratic primary surges, including record turnout in North Carolina, signal stronger base mobilization on one side, while Republican primary figures lag prior cycles. Generic ballot polling shows a modest Democratic edge consistent with the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, alongside ongoing redistricting and a competitive national environment that could sustain engagement. Highly educated voters, who now lean Democratic, tend to participate reliably in off-year contests, supporting the cluster around 120-125 million as the leading range. No major shifts from these patterns have emerged in recent months.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$7,335終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 115-130 million House votes in November 2026, reflecting historical midterm participation near 45-50 percent of the voting-eligible population. Recent Democratic primary surges, including record turnout in North Carolina, signal stronger base mobilization on one side, while Republican primary figures lag prior cycles. Generic ballot polling shows a modest Democratic edge consistent with the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, alongside ongoing redistricting and a competitive national environment that could sustain engagement. Highly educated voters, who now lean Democratic, tend to participate reliably in off-year contests, supporting the cluster around 120-125 million as the leading range. No major shifts from these patterns have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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