The spread in trader probabilities for 2026 House turnout reflects uncertainty over voter engagement in a midterm cycle featuring narrow Republican congressional majorities, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and ongoing redistricting in key states. High numbers of safe seats limit competitiveness in most districts, while factors such as presidential job approval trends, incumbent retirements, and targeted mobilization of younger and diverse voters could influence overall participation. Primary contests and campaign intensity through the fall may provide further signals on enthusiasm gaps between the parties, with historical midterm patterns offering limited precedent given recent shifts in the electorate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億3,000万以上 44%
1億1500万～1億2000万 16%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 14%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
1%
1億〜1億500万
5%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
5%
1億1000万～1億1500万
11%
1億1500万～1億2000万
16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
34%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
14%
1億3,000万以上
28%
1億3,000万以上 44%
1億1500万～1億2000万 16%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 14%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$324 Vol.
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
$419 Vol.
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,552 Vol.
1%
9,500万〜1億
$269 Vol.
1%
1億〜1億500万
$800 Vol.
5%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$436 Vol.
5%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$526 Vol.
11%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,025 Vol.
16%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$408 Vol.
34%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,204 Vol.
14%
1億3,000万以上
$318 Vol.
28%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The spread in trader probabilities for 2026 House turnout reflects uncertainty over voter engagement in a midterm cycle featuring narrow Republican congressional majorities, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and ongoing redistricting in key states. High numbers of safe seats limit competitiveness in most districts, while factors such as presidential job approval trends, incumbent retirements, and targeted mobilization of younger and diverse voters could influence overall participation. Primary contests and campaign intensity through the fall may provide further signals on enthusiasm gaps between the parties, with historical midterm patterns offering limited precedent given recent shifts in the electorate.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$7,280終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The spread in trader probabilities for 2026 House turnout reflects uncertainty over voter engagement in a midterm cycle featuring narrow Republican congressional majorities, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and ongoing redistricting in key states. High numbers of safe seats limit competitiveness in most districts, while factors such as presidential job approval trends, incumbent retirements, and targeted mobilization of younger and diverse voters could influence overall participation. Primary contests and campaign intensity through the fall may provide further signals on enthusiasm gaps between the parties, with historical midterm patterns offering limited precedent given recent shifts in the electorate.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$7,280終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The spread in trader probabilities for 2026 House turnout reflects uncertainty over voter engagement in a midterm cycle featuring narrow Republican congressional majorities, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and ongoing redistricting in key states. High numbers of safe seats limit competitiveness in most districts, while factors such as presidential job approval trends, incumbent retirements, and targeted mobilization of younger and diverse voters could influence overall participation. Primary contests and campaign intensity through the fall may provide further signals on enthusiasm gaps between the parties, with historical midterm patterns offering limited precedent given recent shifts in the electorate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問