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icon for アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者

アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者

icon for アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者

アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者

ハビエル・ミレイ 52%

アクセル・キシロフ 35%

セルヒオ・マッサ 7.1%

ミリアム・ブレグマン 2.9%

Polymarket

$645,886 Vol.

ハビエル・ミレイ 52%

アクセル・キシロフ 35%

セルヒオ・マッサ 7.1%

ミリアム・ブレグマン 2.9%

Polymarket

$645,886 Vol.

icon for ハビエル・ミレイ

ハビエル・ミレイ

$170,561 Vol.

52%

icon for アクセル・キシロフ

アクセル・キシロフ

$113,979 Vol.

35%

icon for セルヒオ・マッサ

セルヒオ・マッサ

$58,653 Vol.

7%

icon for ミリアム・ブレグマン

ミリアム・ブレグマン

$51,951 Vol.

3%

icon for ダンテ・ヘベル

ダンテ・ヘベル

$42,212 Vol.

2%

icon for フアン・グラボイス

フアン・グラボイス

$39,410 Vol.

1%

icon for ビクトリア・ビリャルエル

ビクトリア・ビリャルエル

$36,246 Vol.

1%

icon for エステバン・ブルリッチ

エステバン・ブルリッチ

$27,779 Vol.

<1%

icon for フアン・スキアレッティ

フアン・スキアレッティ

$34,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for ファクンド・マネス

ファクンド・マネス

$28,648 Vol.

<1%

icon for マウリシオ・マクリ

マウリシオ・マクリ

$42,075 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to consistent polling leads in first-round scenarios and his status as incumbent heading La Libertad Avanza. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show him ahead of Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof by margins of several points in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests, though runoff matchups often tighten to near parity. Kicillof emerges as the primary challenger as Peronist and Kirchnerist forces consolidate around him. Broader context includes mixed economic signals—continued disinflation alongside reacceleration in monthly inflation and subdued growth forecasts—that shape voter assessments of the administration's record. Other listed contenders, including Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman, register lower support across available polling. Upcoming legislative debates on electoral reforms and economic indicators through late 2026 remain key variables ahead of primary processes.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
音量
$645,886
終了日
2027/10/24
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to consistent polling leads in first-round scenarios and his status as incumbent heading La Libertad Avanza. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show him ahead of Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof by margins of several points in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests, though runoff matchups often tighten to near parity. Kicillof emerges as the primary challenger as Peronist and Kirchnerist forces consolidate around him. Broader context includes mixed economic signals—continued disinflation alongside reacceleration in monthly inflation and subdued growth forecasts—that shape voter assessments of the administration's record. Other listed contenders, including Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman, register lower support across available polling. Upcoming legislative debates on electoral reforms and economic indicators through late 2026 remain key variables ahead of primary processes.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
音量
$645,886
終了日
2027/10/24
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ハビエル・ミレイ」で52%、次いで「アクセル・キシロフ」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者」は$645.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ハビエル・ミレイ」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アクセル・キシロフ」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アルゼンチン大統領選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。