**Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique holds the strongest position among declared candidates in the two-round electronic primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October 2026.** Multiple Socialist Party figures, including first secretary Olivier Faure, along with Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have entered the race following the August agreement on closed voting rules limited to party members and fee-paying sympathizers. Recent reporting highlights Glucksmann as the early frontrunner, with internal divisions and last-minute debates over additional candidacies such as François Ruffin adding uncertainty. The modest 55% trader consensus on an outright first-round majority reflects the competitive field and limited public polling on primary voter preferences, where a fragmented vote could force a runoff between the top two contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/10
はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/10
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.**Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique holds the strongest position among declared candidates in the two-round electronic primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October 2026.** Multiple Socialist Party figures, including first secretary Olivier Faure, along with Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have entered the race following the August agreement on closed voting rules limited to party members and fee-paying sympathizers. Recent reporting highlights Glucksmann as the early frontrunner, with internal divisions and last-minute debates over additional candidacies such as François Ruffin adding uncertainty. The modest 55% trader consensus on an outright first-round majority reflects the competitive field and limited public polling on primary voter preferences, where a fragmented vote could force a runoff between the top two contenders.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.**Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique holds the strongest position among declared candidates in the two-round electronic primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October 2026.** Multiple Socialist Party figures, including first secretary Olivier Faure, along with Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have entered the race following the August agreement on closed voting rules limited to party members and fee-paying sympathizers. Recent reporting highlights Glucksmann as the early frontrunner, with internal divisions and last-minute debates over additional candidacies such as François Ruffin adding uncertainty. The modest 55% trader consensus on an outright first-round majority reflects the competitive field and limited public polling on primary voter preferences, where a fragmented vote could force a runoff between the top two contenders.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique holds the strongest position among declared candidates in the two-round electronic primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October 2026.** Multiple Socialist Party figures, including first secretary Olivier Faure, along with Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Emmanuel Maurel, and others, have entered the race following the August agreement on closed voting rules limited to party members and fee-paying sympathizers. Recent reporting highlights Glucksmann as the early frontrunner, with internal divisions and last-minute debates over additional candidacies such as François Ruffin adding uncertainty. The modest 55% trader consensus on an outright first-round majority reflects the competitive field and limited public polling on primary voter preferences, where a fragmented vote could force a runoff between the top two contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問