Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the ruling right-wing coalition supported by the Sweden Democrats, with recent polls showing gaps under three points after earlier double-digit leads for the opposition. Record advance voting, already exceeding 2022 levels by roughly 40 percent with over three million ballots cast since late August, signals strong mobilization around issues including immigration, crime, security, and the economy. Sweden's historical turnout near 84 percent provides a stable base rate, while the competitive dynamics and high early participation support trader consensus clustered in the 84-88 percent range. Final figures could shift based on election-day turnout among remaining voters or any last-minute developments in bloc positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日84〜86% 46%
86〜88% 38%
82〜84% 15%
88%以上 12%
$7,139 Vol.
$7,139 Vol.
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
9%
84〜86%
46%
86〜88%
38%
88%以上
12%
84〜86% 46%
86〜88% 38%
82〜84% 15%
88%以上 12%
$7,139 Vol.
$7,139 Vol.
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
9%
84〜86%
46%
86〜88%
38%
88%以上
12%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the ruling right-wing coalition supported by the Sweden Democrats, with recent polls showing gaps under three points after earlier double-digit leads for the opposition. Record advance voting, already exceeding 2022 levels by roughly 40 percent with over three million ballots cast since late August, signals strong mobilization around issues including immigration, crime, security, and the economy. Sweden's historical turnout near 84 percent provides a stable base rate, while the competitive dynamics and high early participation support trader consensus clustered in the 84-88 percent range. Final figures could shift based on election-day turnout among remaining voters or any last-minute developments in bloc positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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