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icon for スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者
政治·報酬20、4.5、50

スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者

icon for スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者
政治·報酬20、4.5、50

スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者

スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S） 100.0%

スウェーデン民主党（SD） <1%

穏健党（M） <1%

中央党（C） <1%

Polymarket

$2,036,334 Vol.

スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S） 100.0%

スウェーデン民主党（SD） <1%

穏健党（M） <1%

中央党（C） <1%

Polymarket

$2,036,334 Vol.

icon for スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）

スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）

$468,373 Vol.

はい

icon for スウェーデン民主党（SD）

スウェーデン民主党（SD）

$723,630 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 穏健党（M）

穏健党（M）

$495,909 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 中央党（C）

中央党（C）

$43,212 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 左翼党（V）

左翼党（V）

$39,068 Vol.

いいえ

icon for キリスト教民主党（KD）

キリスト教民主党（KD）

$37,250 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 緑の党（MP）

緑の党（MP）

$154,852 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 自由党（L）

自由党（L）

$37,804 Vol.

いいえ

icon for 市民連合（MED）

市民連合（MED）

$36,235 Vol.

いいえ

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, secured a projected one-seat majority in the September 13 parliamentary election, according to early counts and exit polls from SVT and the Election Authority. The Social Democrats emerged as the largest party with roughly 28 percent support, while the Sweden Democrats saw their vote share decline notably from 2022 levels amid stronger showings by the Moderates and smaller parties. This outcome reflects voter preferences that preserved the traditional bloc divide and limited the Sweden Democrats’ influence in government formation. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels for a Social Democrat-led outcome aligns with these preliminary seat allocations, though final certified results—including overseas ballots—remain pending and could alter the narrow margin. Complex coalition talks could still influence the ultimate government composition even if the seat projection holds.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$2,036,334
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, secured a projected one-seat majority in the September 13 parliamentary election, according to early counts and exit polls from SVT and the Election Authority. The Social Democrats emerged as the largest party with roughly 28 percent support, while the Sweden Democrats saw their vote share decline notably from 2022 levels amid stronger showings by the Moderates and smaller parties. This outcome reflects voter preferences that preserved the traditional bloc divide and limited the Sweden Democrats’ influence in government formation. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels for a Social Democrat-led outcome aligns with these preliminary seat allocations, though final certified results—including overseas ballots—remain pending and could alter the narrow margin. Complex coalition talks could still influence the ultimate government composition even if the seat projection holds.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$2,036,334
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

関連

icon for Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

100%
icon for Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?

Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?

100%
icon for Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?

Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?

100%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）」で100%、次いで「スウェーデン民主党（SD）」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者」は$2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「スウェーデン民主党（SD）」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スウェーデン議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。