The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オリヴィエ・フォール 36%
フィリップ・ブラン 34%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル 31%
ラファエル・グリュックスマン 29%
新規
新規
2026/10/10
オリヴィエ・フォール
36%
フィリップ・ブラン
34%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル
31%
ラファエル・グリュックスマン
29%
ジェローム・ゲッジ
30%
エマニュエル・モレル
12%
オリヴィエ・フォール 36%
フィリップ・ブラン 34%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル 31%
ラファエル・グリュックスマン 29%
新規
新規
2026/10/10
オリヴィエ・フォール
$20 Vol.
36%
フィリップ・ブラン
$20 Vol.
34%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル
$20 Vol.
31%
ラファエル・グリュックスマン
$20 Vol.
29%
ジェローム・ゲッジ
$38 Vol.
30%
エマニュエル・モレル
$71 Vol.
12%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$189終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
音量
$189終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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