Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot's centrist Yashar party consistently placing first or second with roughly 22-25 projected seats, reflecting voter shifts away from Likud amid ongoing security concerns and opposition fragmentation. Candidate lists finalized in early September, including prominent security figures on Yashar's slate, have not produced a merger with Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's Together alliance, splitting the center-left vote. Smaller parties' threshold performance and bloc dynamics add further variability to Yashar's national vote share. Traders see these factors sustaining tight probabilities across the 16-24% range, with limited separation until additional polling or late-campaign developments clarify turnout and alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日16～18％ 38%
24％以上 36%
18〜20％ 33%
20～22％ 33%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
16％未満
33%
16～18％
38%
18〜20％
33%
20～22％
33%
22〜24％
32%
24％以上
36%
16～18％ 38%
24％以上 36%
18〜20％ 33%
20～22％ 33%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
16％未満
$0 Vol.
33%
16～18％
$0 Vol.
38%
18〜20％
$0 Vol.
33%
20～22％
$0 Vol.
33%
22〜24％
$0 Vol.
32%
24％以上
$0 Vol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot's centrist Yashar party consistently placing first or second with roughly 22-25 projected seats, reflecting voter shifts away from Likud amid ongoing security concerns and opposition fragmentation. Candidate lists finalized in early September, including prominent security figures on Yashar's slate, have not produced a merger with Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's Together alliance, splitting the center-left vote. Smaller parties' threshold performance and bloc dynamics add further variability to Yashar's national vote share. Traders see these factors sustaining tight probabilities across the 16-24% range, with limited separation until additional polling or late-campaign developments clarify turnout and alliances.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot's centrist Yashar party consistently placing first or second with roughly 22-25 projected seats, reflecting voter shifts away from Likud amid ongoing security concerns and opposition fragmentation. Candidate lists finalized in early September, including prominent security figures on Yashar's slate, have not produced a merger with Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's Together alliance, splitting the center-left vote. Smaller parties' threshold performance and bloc dynamics add further variability to Yashar's national vote share. Traders see these factors sustaining tight probabilities across the 16-24% range, with limited separation until additional polling or late-campaign developments clarify turnout and alliances.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETRecent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot's centrist Yashar party consistently placing first or second with roughly 22-25 projected seats, reflecting voter shifts away from Likud amid ongoing security concerns and opposition fragmentation. Candidate lists finalized in early September, including prominent security figures on Yashar's slate, have not produced a merger with Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's Together alliance, splitting the center-left vote. Smaller parties' threshold performance and bloc dynamics add further variability to Yashar's national vote share. Traders see these factors sustaining tight probabilities across the 16-24% range, with limited separation until additional polling or late-campaign developments clarify turnout and alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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