Recent Kremlin statements and scheduling reports have elevated China as the leading venue, with Putin planning to attend the November APEC summit in Shenzhen and aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Trump and Xi on the sidelines. Trader consensus assigns China a 65.5% implied probability, reflecting these concrete diplomatic signals and the absence of comparable confirmed venues elsewhere. The 25.5% odds on no meeting by year-end stem from Trump’s public stance that any bilateral summit requires verifiable progress on Ukraine negotiations, which remain at the envoy level without a firm timeline. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations align with Putin’s reported reluctance to join the G20 in Florida and the lack of announced alternatives in the final months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日China 66%
12月31日までに会談なし 23%
United States 6.6%
Russia 1.0%
$1,388,026 Vol.
$1,388,026 Vol.
2026/12/31
China
66%
12月31日までに会談なし
23%
United States
7%
Russia
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other
1%
Gulf country
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 66%
12月31日までに会談なし 23%
United States 6.6%
Russia 1.0%
$1,388,026 Vol.
$1,388,026 Vol.
2026/12/31
China
$183,560 Vol.
66%
12月31日までに会談なし
$397,449 Vol.
23%
United States
$79,473 Vol.
7%
Russia
$116,053 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$70,623 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$62,576 Vol.
1%
Other
$70,427 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$57,317 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$58,431 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$66,430 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$53,385 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$47,366 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$42,007 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$47,624 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$35,306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements and scheduling reports have elevated China as the leading venue, with Putin planning to attend the November APEC summit in Shenzhen and aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Trump and Xi on the sidelines. Trader consensus assigns China a 65.5% implied probability, reflecting these concrete diplomatic signals and the absence of comparable confirmed venues elsewhere. The 25.5% odds on no meeting by year-end stem from Trump’s public stance that any bilateral summit requires verifiable progress on Ukraine negotiations, which remain at the envoy level without a firm timeline. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations align with Putin’s reported reluctance to join the G20 in Florida and the lack of announced alternatives in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$1,388,026終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements and scheduling reports have elevated China as the leading venue, with Putin planning to attend the November APEC summit in Shenzhen and aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Trump and Xi on the sidelines. Trader consensus assigns China a 65.5% implied probability, reflecting these concrete diplomatic signals and the absence of comparable confirmed venues elsewhere. The 25.5% odds on no meeting by year-end stem from Trump’s public stance that any bilateral summit requires verifiable progress on Ukraine negotiations, which remain at the envoy level without a firm timeline. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations align with Putin’s reported reluctance to join the G20 in Florida and the lack of announced alternatives in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,388,026終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...Recent Kremlin statements and scheduling reports have elevated China as the leading venue, with Putin planning to attend the November APEC summit in Shenzhen and aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Trump and Xi on the sidelines. Trader consensus assigns China a 65.5% implied probability, reflecting these concrete diplomatic signals and the absence of comparable confirmed venues elsewhere. The 25.5% odds on no meeting by year-end stem from Trump’s public stance that any bilateral summit requires verifiable progress on Ukraine negotiations, which remain at the envoy level without a firm timeline. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or other locations align with Putin’s reported reluctance to join the G20 in Florida and the lack of announced alternatives in the final months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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