Recent diplomatic signals point to China as the leading venue, driven by Vladimir Putin’s confirmed plans to attend the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, his first in-person participation since 2017. Kremlin statements have highlighted the possibility of a bilateral or trilateral meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines, consistent with back-to-back leader visits to Beijing earlier in the year and ongoing U.S.-Russia envoy talks on Ukraine. The G20 in the United States appears unlikely to draw Putin, while broader U.S.-Russia normalization efforts, including sanctions discussions and stalled ceasefire negotiations, have not yet produced confirmed alternative sites. Traders assign China the highest implied probability given these scheduling and geopolitical factors, with a notable share pricing in the risk of no meeting occurring before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日China 68%
12月31日までに会談なし 22%
United States 4.8%
Russia <1%
$1,394,204 Vol.
$1,394,204 Vol.
2026/12/31
China
68%
12月31日までに会談なし
22%
United States
5%
Russia
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 68%
12月31日までに会談なし 22%
United States 4.8%
Russia <1%
$1,394,204 Vol.
$1,394,204 Vol.
2026/12/31
China
$185,816 Vol.
68%
12月31日までに会談なし
$397,955 Vol.
22%
United States
$80,376 Vol.
5%
Russia
$116,053 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$72,623 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$62,576 Vol.
1%
Other
$70,427 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$57,317 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$59,137 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$66,430 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$53,385 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$47,366 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$42,007 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$47,624 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$35,306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic signals point to China as the leading venue, driven by Vladimir Putin’s confirmed plans to attend the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, his first in-person participation since 2017. Kremlin statements have highlighted the possibility of a bilateral or trilateral meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines, consistent with back-to-back leader visits to Beijing earlier in the year and ongoing U.S.-Russia envoy talks on Ukraine. The G20 in the United States appears unlikely to draw Putin, while broader U.S.-Russia normalization efforts, including sanctions discussions and stalled ceasefire negotiations, have not yet produced confirmed alternative sites. Traders assign China the highest implied probability given these scheduling and geopolitical factors, with a notable share pricing in the risk of no meeting occurring before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$1,394,204終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic signals point to China as the leading venue, driven by Vladimir Putin’s confirmed plans to attend the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, his first in-person participation since 2017. Kremlin statements have highlighted the possibility of a bilateral or trilateral meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines, consistent with back-to-back leader visits to Beijing earlier in the year and ongoing U.S.-Russia envoy talks on Ukraine. The G20 in the United States appears unlikely to draw Putin, while broader U.S.-Russia normalization efforts, including sanctions discussions and stalled ceasefire negotiations, have not yet produced confirmed alternative sites. Traders assign China the highest implied probability given these scheduling and geopolitical factors, with a notable share pricing in the risk of no meeting occurring before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,394,204終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...Recent diplomatic signals point to China as the leading venue, driven by Vladimir Putin’s confirmed plans to attend the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, his first in-person participation since 2017. Kremlin statements have highlighted the possibility of a bilateral or trilateral meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines, consistent with back-to-back leader visits to Beijing earlier in the year and ongoing U.S.-Russia envoy talks on Ukraine. The G20 in the United States appears unlikely to draw Putin, while broader U.S.-Russia normalization efforts, including sanctions discussions and stalled ceasefire negotiations, have not yet produced confirmed alternative sites. Traders assign China the highest implied probability given these scheduling and geopolitical factors, with a notable share pricing in the risk of no meeting occurring before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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