Traders assign a 73.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral summits or confirmed diplomatic timelines amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and competing U.S. domestic priorities. China leads venue probabilities at 15% due to its established neutral-host role in prior high-level engagements and logistical feasibility. Lower odds for the United States or Russia stem from security protocols, domestic political calendars, and reluctance to host on home soil. Secondary options such as Turkey or Gulf states register modestly as traditional back-channel sites, while broader uncertainty around escalation risks or shifting foreign-policy calendars keeps most location-specific outcomes below 5%. No major public announcements have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
12月31日までに会談なし 74%
China 15%
United States 3.3%
Russia 2.9%
$249,020 Vol.
$249,020 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
74%
China
15%
United States
3%
Russia
3%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Gulf country
1%
Belarus
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Switzerland
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
Australia
<1%
12月31日までに会談なし 74%
China 15%
United States 3.3%
Russia 2.9%
$249,020 Vol.
$249,020 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
$53,765 Vol.
74%
China
$26,646 Vol.
15%
United States
$10,696 Vol.
3%
Russia
$33,539 Vol.
3%
Other
$9,291 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$14,426 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$7,281 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$7,825 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$7,571 Vol.
1%
South Korea
$9,118 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$8,576 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$8,309 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$8,888 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$35,917 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 73.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral summits or confirmed diplomatic timelines amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and competing U.S. domestic priorities. China leads venue probabilities at 15% due to its established neutral-host role in prior high-level engagements and logistical feasibility. Lower odds for the United States or Russia stem from security protocols, domestic political calendars, and reluctance to host on home soil. Secondary options such as Turkey or Gulf states register modestly as traditional back-channel sites, while broader uncertainty around escalation risks or shifting foreign-policy calendars keeps most location-specific outcomes below 5%. No major public announcements have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$249,020終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 73.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral summits or confirmed diplomatic timelines amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and competing U.S. domestic priorities. China leads venue probabilities at 15% due to its established neutral-host role in prior high-level engagements and logistical feasibility. Lower odds for the United States or Russia stem from security protocols, domestic political calendars, and reluctance to host on home soil. Secondary options such as Turkey or Gulf states register modestly as traditional back-channel sites, while broader uncertainty around escalation risks or shifting foreign-policy calendars keeps most location-specific outcomes below 5%. No major public announcements have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$249,020終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 73.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral summits or confirmed diplomatic timelines amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and competing U.S. domestic priorities. China leads venue probabilities at 15% due to its established neutral-host role in prior high-level engagements and logistical feasibility. Lower odds for the United States or Russia stem from security protocols, domestic political calendars, and reluctance to host on home soil. Secondary options such as Turkey or Gulf states register modestly as traditional back-channel sites, while broader uncertainty around escalation risks or shifting foreign-policy calendars keeps most location-specific outcomes below 5%. No major public announcements have altered these implied probabilities in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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