Recent phone diplomacy between the Trump administration and Kremlin has sustained dialogue on Ukraine without yielding an in-person summit in 2026, while stalled bilateral talks and competing priorities such as Middle East developments have limited scheduling momentum. The White House extended a G20 invitation to Putin for a potential Miami gathering later this year, though Trump publicly expressed doubt about attendance. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no meeting by year-end, reflecting procedural hurdles, ongoing battlefield dynamics in Ukraine, and preference for neutral or third-party venues if a summit materializes. Speculation around China as a possible site aligns with patterns of hosting major powers for high-stakes negotiations, whereas U.S. or Russian locations face lower odds amid domestic and alliance constraints. Upcoming diplomatic calendars, including potential envoy visits, remain key variables that could shift positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
12月31日までに会談なし 70%
China 24%
Russia 2.1%
United States 1.4%
$349,183 Vol.
$349,183 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
70%
China
24%
Russia
2%
United States
1%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Finland
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
12月31日までに会談なし 70%
China 24%
Russia 2.1%
United States 1.4%
$349,183 Vol.
$349,183 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
$68,864 Vol.
70%
China
$42,472 Vol.
24%
Russia
$59,494 Vol.
2%
United States
$13,464 Vol.
1%
Other
$11,807 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$10,490 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$14,597 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$10,079 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$10,068 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$16,988 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$12,482 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$10,226 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$11,000 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$18,679 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$38,475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent phone diplomacy between the Trump administration and Kremlin has sustained dialogue on Ukraine without yielding an in-person summit in 2026, while stalled bilateral talks and competing priorities such as Middle East developments have limited scheduling momentum. The White House extended a G20 invitation to Putin for a potential Miami gathering later this year, though Trump publicly expressed doubt about attendance. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no meeting by year-end, reflecting procedural hurdles, ongoing battlefield dynamics in Ukraine, and preference for neutral or third-party venues if a summit materializes. Speculation around China as a possible site aligns with patterns of hosting major powers for high-stakes negotiations, whereas U.S. or Russian locations face lower odds amid domestic and alliance constraints. Upcoming diplomatic calendars, including potential envoy visits, remain key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$349,183終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent phone diplomacy between the Trump administration and Kremlin has sustained dialogue on Ukraine without yielding an in-person summit in 2026, while stalled bilateral talks and competing priorities such as Middle East developments have limited scheduling momentum. The White House extended a G20 invitation to Putin for a potential Miami gathering later this year, though Trump publicly expressed doubt about attendance. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no meeting by year-end, reflecting procedural hurdles, ongoing battlefield dynamics in Ukraine, and preference for neutral or third-party venues if a summit materializes. Speculation around China as a possible site aligns with patterns of hosting major powers for high-stakes negotiations, whereas U.S. or Russian locations face lower odds amid domestic and alliance constraints. Upcoming diplomatic calendars, including potential envoy visits, remain key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$349,183終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent phone diplomacy between the Trump administration and Kremlin has sustained dialogue on Ukraine without yielding an in-person summit in 2026, while stalled bilateral talks and competing priorities such as Middle East developments have limited scheduling momentum. The White House extended a G20 invitation to Putin for a potential Miami gathering later this year, though Trump publicly expressed doubt about attendance. Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no meeting by year-end, reflecting procedural hurdles, ongoing battlefield dynamics in Ukraine, and preference for neutral or third-party venues if a summit materializes. Speculation around China as a possible site aligns with patterns of hosting major powers for high-stakes negotiations, whereas U.S. or Russian locations face lower odds amid domestic and alliance constraints. Upcoming diplomatic calendars, including potential envoy visits, remain key variables that could shift positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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