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icon for プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？
地政学·プーチン

プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？

icon for プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？
地政学·プーチン

プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？

7月 1, 2027

7月 1, 2027

$24,142,565 Vol.

2026/09/30
3.25%を獲得
Polymarket

$24,142,565 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$1,222,378 Vol.

1%

2026年12月31日

$21,133,426 Vol.

6%

2027年6月30日

$432,808 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin, aged 73, maintains firm control over Russia’s personalist system following his 2024 reelection, with constitutional changes enabling potential service until 2036 absent any designated successor or vice-presidential role. Recent developments include ongoing attrition in Ukraine, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure prompting fuel rationing, and preparations for September 2026 State Duma elections that the Kremlin frames as a demonstration of stability against alleged Western interference. Putin has publicly downplayed health concerns and succession questions, while elite discussions focus on managed transitions through institutions like the State Council rather than abrupt change. Historical patterns show Russian leaders typically departing via death in office, with low immediate risks of coup, resignation, or incapacity keeping trader-implied probabilities for near-term exit very low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,142,565
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin, aged 73, maintains firm control over Russia’s personalist system following his 2024 reelection, with constitutional changes enabling potential service until 2036 absent any designated successor or vice-presidential role. Recent developments include ongoing attrition in Ukraine, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure prompting fuel rationing, and preparations for September 2026 State Duma elections that the Kremlin frames as a demonstration of stability against alleged Western interference. Putin has publicly downplayed health concerns and succession questions, while elite discussions focus on managed transitions through institutions like the State Council rather than abrupt change. Historical patterns show Russian leaders typically departing via death in office, with low immediate risks of coup, resignation, or incapacity keeping trader-implied probabilities for near-term exit very low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,142,565
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

関連

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2027年12月31日までにロシアとウクライナの停戦合意は成立するか？

70%
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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年6月30日」で13%、次いで「2026年12月31日」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？」は$24.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年6月30日」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年12月31日」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「プーチン大統領がロシア大統領に就任したのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。