Putin’s continued hold on power through mid-2026 reflects the absence of any near-term mechanism for removal or voluntary exit. Constitutional amendments enacted in 2020 reset term limits, allowing him to seek reelection in 2030 and potentially serve until 2036. Recent public appearances, including addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and bilateral meetings, demonstrate ongoing leadership activity with no announced transition plans. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has further aligned elite incentives around his tenure, while domestic political structures limit viable succession challenges. Trader consensus at 90.5% against an exit by December 31, 2026, aligns with this institutional and political continuity, absent sudden health developments or elite realignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$7,557,719 Vol.
$7,557,719 Vol.
はい
$7,557,719 Vol.
$7,557,719 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s continued hold on power through mid-2026 reflects the absence of any near-term mechanism for removal or voluntary exit. Constitutional amendments enacted in 2020 reset term limits, allowing him to seek reelection in 2030 and potentially serve until 2036. Recent public appearances, including addresses at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and bilateral meetings, demonstrate ongoing leadership activity with no announced transition plans. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has further aligned elite incentives around his tenure, while domestic political structures limit viable succession challenges. Trader consensus at 90.5% against an exit by December 31, 2026, aligns with this institutional and political continuity, absent sudden health developments or elite realignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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