Vladimir Putin's secure constitutional position through 2030, following his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and prior amendments resetting term limits to potentially allow service until 2036, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% against his departure by year-end. Recent health rumors from brief public absences in February and March 2026 were dispelled by his reappearances and active schedule, including an April 10 Orthodox Easter truce announcement in Ukraine. No verified elite defections, coup signals, or institutional challenges have emerged amid the ongoing war, where Putin maintains tight control over opposition and media. Absent unforeseen health events, scandals, or military reversals, traders see negligible near-term removal risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's secure constitutional position through 2030, following his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and prior amendments resetting term limits to potentially allow service until 2036, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% against his departure by year-end. Recent health rumors from brief public absences in February and March 2026 were dispelled by his reappearances and active schedule, including an April 10 Orthodox Easter truce announcement in Ukraine. No verified elite defections, coup signals, or institutional challenges have emerged amid the ongoing war, where Putin maintains tight control over opposition and media. Absent unforeseen health events, scandals, or military reversals, traders see negligible near-term removal risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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