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Israel predictions & odds

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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

4%

$7M Vol.

$850K today

$343K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

<1%

$41M Vol.

$482K today

$4M Liq.

3

Ends in 5 days

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

32%

$17M Vol.

$466K today

$543K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

36%

April 26

$1M Vol.

$243K today

$59.8K Liq.

567

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$118M Vol.

$218K today

$611K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

9%

$34M Vol.

$198K today

$574K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

10%

$2M Vol.

$122K today

$43.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

21%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$80.2K today

$387K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

15%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$65.3K today

$509K Liq.

359

Ends in 2 months

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

3%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$59.4K today

$251K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

39%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5M Vol.

$752K Liq.

164

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

12%

June 30

$357K Vol.

$90.7K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

26%

Belgium

$592K Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

8%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

21%

$16M Vol.

$311K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

43%

$1M Vol.

$81.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$621K Vol.

$91.9K Liq.

61

Ends in 2 months

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

17%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$58.7K Liq.

155

Ends in 5 days

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

1%

April 21

$3M Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

73

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

9%

May 31

$86.9K Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

15

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $275.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.