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France predictions & odds

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

40%

$6.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Jordan Bardella

$52M Vol.

$744K today

$5M Liq.

417

Ends in about 1 year

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$116K Liq.

93

Ends in 2 months

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

312

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

92%

Édouard Philippe

$1.1K Vol.

$65.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

20%

$603 Vol.

$265 Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

91%

Jordan Bardella

$269 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

19%

$10.7K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

23

Coupe de France: Winner

Coupe de France: Winner

76%

Lens

$4.3K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

5%

$811K Vol.

$89.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

100%

Mandatory

$3.9K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

75%

Joblife

$856 Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

France vs. Senegal

France vs. Senegal

69%

France

$2.0K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

59%

F9 EICAR

$14 Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

France vs. Iraq

France vs. Iraq

75%

France

$169 Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Norway vs. France

Norway vs. France

49%

France

$57 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

94%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$145K today

$558K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

37%

Harry Kane

$3M Vol.

$529K Liq.

82

Ends in 6 months

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

73%

Europe

$2M Vol.

$307K Liq.

14

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like France.

Polymarket currently hosts 175 active markets for France that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $66.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 22% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on France predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.