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World predictions & odds

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$61M Vol.

$654K today

$4M Liq.

5,576

Ends in 5 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Chong Won-oh

$32M Vol.

$561K today

$3M Liq.

44

Ends in about 1 month

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$54M Vol.

$499K today

$5M Liq.

425

Ends in about 1 year

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$473K today

$979K Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

$35M Vol.

$417K today

$538K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$15M Vol.

$403K today

$1M Liq.

162

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$26M Vol.

$386K today

$1M Liq.

400

Ends in about 2 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$119M Vol.

$372K today

$389K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$7M Vol.

$336K today

$118K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

34%

$18M Vol.

$327K today

$525K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

66%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$277K today

$457K Liq.

662

Next leader out of power before 2027?
World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

96%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$210K today

$549K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

43%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$175K today

$511K Liq.

191

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

61%

United Russia (ER)

$6M Vol.

$136K today

$336K Liq.

153

Ends in 5 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

82%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$131K today

$236K Liq.

485

Ends in about 15 hours

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$94M Vol.

$127K today

$3M Liq.

2,109

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$89.1K today

$437K Liq.

362

Ends in 2 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

11%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$75.7K today

$195K Liq.

69

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

67%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$72.8K today

$293K Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $577.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.