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World predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$58M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

448

Ends in 12 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

44%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$64M Vol.

$514K today

$4M Liq.

5,917

Ends in 5 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Chong Won-oh

$34M Vol.

$394K today

$4M Liq.

53

Ends in about 1 month

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

96%

June 30

$28M Vol.

$318K today

$269K Liq.

547

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%

$36M Vol.

$258K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

$20M Vol.

$172K today

$838K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$170K today

$2M Liq.

399

Ends in about 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$145K today

$449K Liq.

363

Ends in about 2 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$15M Vol.

$107K today

$1M Liq.

166

Ends in 5 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$102K today

$367K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

100%

Péter Magyar

$95M Vol.

$90.0K today

$3M Liq.

2,112

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

66%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$83.0K today

$2M Liq.

97

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$74.6K today

$802K Liq.

209

Ends in 8 months

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

56%

$937K Vol.

$73.1K today

$109K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%

$16M Vol.

$61.3K today

$599K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

94%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$55.5K today

$1M Liq.

20

Ends in 28 days

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$53.2K today

$61.8K Liq.

59

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

26%

$15M Vol.

$478K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

64%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$403K Liq.

167

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $598.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.