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Shipping predictions & odds

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Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

6%

$51.0K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

1%

April 30

$195K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

3

Ends in about 15 hours

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

13%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$69.6K today

$94.1K Liq.

84

Ends in about 15 hours

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

94%

8–9

$248K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

2%

$400K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

51

Ends in about 15 hours

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

26%

$534 Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

May 31

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$333K Liq.

253

Ends in about 15 hours

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

1%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$74.8K Liq.

142

Ends in about 15 hours

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

24%

June 30

$197K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

15

Ends in 2 months

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1%

$57.5K Vol.

$959 Liq.

4

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

115

Ends in 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

67%

December 31, 2027

$464K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

32

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

4%

$1.1K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 4

$100K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

10

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

66%

$32.7K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

22

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

2%

Successful splash down?

$2M Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

41

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

98%

>$600M

$21M Vol.

$831K today

$897K Liq.

295

Ends in 2 months

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

2%

↑ 0.16

$12.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shipping.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Shipping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $41.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shipping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.