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Shipping predictions & odds

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Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

6%

$51.1K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

11%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$75.9K Liq.

87

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

14%

$98.6K Vol.

$89.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

29%

May 31

$11M Vol.

$412K today

$406K Liq.

284

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

17%

June 30

$207K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

74%

3,400

$16 Vol.

$289 Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

64%

December 31, 2027

$470K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

32

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

2%

$4.3K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

21%

May 31

$121K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

98%

0-10

$224K Vol.

$60.5K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

59%

0-10

$3.4K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

22%

$120K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

238

Ends in 27 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$633K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

87%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

44

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

78%

25-49

$104K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

<1%

80+

$1M Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

54%

25-49

$3.0K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$36M Vol.

$371K today

$309K Liq.

3

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shipping.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Shipping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $56.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shipping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.