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Economy predictions & odds

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Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

100%

No change

$197M Vol.

$11M today

$20M Liq.

16

Ends in about 15 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$31M Vol.

$770K today

$610K Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

15%

$1M Vol.

$653K today

$152K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Largest Company end of April?

Largest Company end of April?

100%

NVIDIA

$14M Vol.

$399K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

93%

NVIDIA

$7M Vol.

$364K today

$871K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

95%

No change

$11M Vol.

$268K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

4%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3M Vol.

$235K today

$255K Liq.

140

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

36%

$3M Vol.

$148K today

$214K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$21M Vol.

$119K today

$1M Liq.

58

Ends in 8 months

2nd largest company end of April?

2nd largest company end of April?

99%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$77.3K today

$267K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

75%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$52.8K today

$566K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

97%

NVIDIA

$192K Vol.

$260K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

56%

$586K Vol.

$202K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

3%

40+

$1M Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

98%

Decrease

$395K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

86%

No change

$4M Vol.

$417K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

4%

$387K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

51

Ends in 1 day

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

98%

Good Afternoon

$151K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

5

Ends in about 15 hours

3rd largest company end of April?

3rd largest company end of April?

98%

Apple

$1M Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

77%

25 bps Increase

$58.6K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economy.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $301.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.