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Tech predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of June?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of June?

77%

NVIDIA

$9M Vol.

$270K today

$877K Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$255K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 27 days

New MAI model released by...?
Tech·AI

New MAI model released by...?

100%

April 30

$505K Vol.

$170K today

$400K Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of May?

79%

NVIDIA

$1M Vol.

$119K today

$521K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

68%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$104K today

$924K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

AWS service disrupted by April 30?
Tech·Amazon

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

<1%

$119K Vol.

$55.2K today

$72.6K Liq.

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of December 2026?

52%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$51.1K today

$568K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

35%

$226K Vol.

$93.4K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Tech·AI

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

12%

$40.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$104K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

72%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Tech·AI

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$389K Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

51

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

92%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$106K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

Gemini 3.2 released by...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

72%

June 30

$29.7K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

70%

1440+

$20.0K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

72%

1480+

$21.1K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

2

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Tech·AI

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

77%

Caesars Entertainment

$18M Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Tech·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

83%

Anthropic

$218K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$73.6K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

63%

Google

$54.7K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “AWS service disrupted by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to iRobot. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.