Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,195,470 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 15
6%
September 30
16%
October 31
68%
$1,195,470 Vol.
August 31
$346,410 Vol.
<1%
September 15
$7,769 Vol.
6%
September 30
$26,795 Vol.
16%
October 31
$5,620 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,195,470End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,195,470End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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