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Llm predictions & odds

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

19%

$61.1K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$18M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

3

Ends in 5 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

48%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$144K today

$719K Liq.

61

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

51%

Anthropic

$426K Vol.

$54.9K today

$257K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

69%

OpenAI

$136K Vol.

$85.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

84%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

53%

Anthropic

$808K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

91%

Alibaba

$305K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

37%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

25

Ends in 2 months

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

44%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$198K Liq.

19

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

80%

Anthropic

$180K Vol.

$74.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

61%

Anthropic

$31.3K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

85%

1480+

$36.4K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

70%

Anthropic

$120K Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$218K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

93%

Anthropic

$65.4K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?

59%

1510

$11.8K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

92%

Anthropic

$24.5K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

4%

$100K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

83%

1510

$23.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Llm that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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