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Gpt predictions & odds

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When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

73%

June 22–June 28

$297K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 days

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$369K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

44

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

97%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

18%

50%+

$26.1K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

52%

GPT-6 released

$23M Vol.

$611K Liq.

887

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

95%

Anthropic

$16M Vol.

$233K today

$3M Liq.

62

Ends in 10 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

95%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$85.6K today

$341K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 days

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

92%

Anthropic

$645K Vol.

$144K Liq.

51

Ends in 10 days

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

69%

4+

$16.7K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

75%

None in 2026

$80.9K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

21%

$60.6K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

98%

September 30

$24.9K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

82%

1450+

$111K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

79%

$25.7K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

44%

December 31, 2026

$256K Vol.

$314 Liq.

32

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for Gpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will GPT-5.6 be released?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $43.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to GPT-6 released. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.