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Gpt predictions & odds

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

66%

July 31

$704 Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

70%

$29.7K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

54%

Anthropic

$365K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

51

Ends in 2 months

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

97%

$2.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

42%

None in 2026

$39.2K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

44%

<2

$847 Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

82%

$20.8K Vol.

$837 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

25%

$5.4K Vol.

$578 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$286K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

44

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%

60%+

$29.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

44%

50%+

$20.8K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

99%

Anthropic

$21M Vol.

$201K today

$4M Liq.

3

Ends in about 15 hours

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

60%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$108K today

$800K Liq.

61

Ends in 2 months

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

98%

Drake releases Iceman

$21M Vol.

$730K Liq.

822

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

99%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$253K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

49%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$171K Liq.

19

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

99%

Anthropic

$228K Vol.

$68.1K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$6.6K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$253K Vol.

$333 Liq.

32

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ODDIK Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ODDIK Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

51%

Game Hunters

$66.5K Vol.

$295K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Gpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $51.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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