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Altman predictions & odds

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

12%

$66.9K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

35%

$226K Vol.

$77.9K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

89%

$6.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

30%

$3.7K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

44%

$4.9K Vol.

$128 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$42.3K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

6

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

12%

$40.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

5%

$104K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

11%

$3.2K Vol.

$603 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

55%

Earbuds/Headphones

$183K Vol.

$211K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

88%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$166K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

74%

$800B

$1M Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

2

Ends in over 1 year

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

25%

$267K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

84%

December 31, 2026

$295K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

45

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

67%

Anthropic

$53.5K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

57%

Adam Hamawy

$29.4K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Who will be featured on Petal?

Who will be featured on Petal?

73%

The Weeknd

$65 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

22%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$688K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

20

Ends in 8 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$253K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

32

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

SpaceX

$72.6K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to SpaceX. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.