OpenAI’s path to an IPO continues to center on achieving a closing market capitalization near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s most recent private valuation reaching $852 billion in March 2026 after raising $122 billion. As of mid-August 2026, CFO Sarah Friar indicated to employees that a public listing is targeted for 2027 or potentially sooner if revenue growth persists, following the confidential S-1 filing in June. The firm generates approximately $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven increasingly by enterprise API usage now exceeding 40 percent of total—with growth outpacing historical benchmarks at comparable tech firms, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spending. Key variables for any closing valuation include broader equity market conditions, AI sector sentiment, successful execution on scaling, and potential shifts in monetary policy or risk appetite that could influence pricing multiples at debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,519,963 Vol.
$1,519,963 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
$800B
84%
$1T
76%
$1.2T
61%
$1.4T
44%
$1.6T
42%
$1,519,963 Vol.
$1,519,963 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
$800B
$107,719 Vol.
84%
$1T
$1,046,738 Vol.
76%
$1.2T
$248,687 Vol.
61%
$1.4T
$67,841 Vol.
44%
$1.6T
$48,978 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO continues to center on achieving a closing market capitalization near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s most recent private valuation reaching $852 billion in March 2026 after raising $122 billion. As of mid-August 2026, CFO Sarah Friar indicated to employees that a public listing is targeted for 2027 or potentially sooner if revenue growth persists, following the confidential S-1 filing in June. The firm generates approximately $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven increasingly by enterprise API usage now exceeding 40 percent of total—with growth outpacing historical benchmarks at comparable tech firms, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spending. Key variables for any closing valuation include broader equity market conditions, AI sector sentiment, successful execution on scaling, and potential shifts in monetary policy or risk appetite that could influence pricing multiples at debut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,519,963End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO continues to center on achieving a closing market capitalization near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s most recent private valuation reaching $852 billion in March 2026 after raising $122 billion. As of mid-August 2026, CFO Sarah Friar indicated to employees that a public listing is targeted for 2027 or potentially sooner if revenue growth persists, following the confidential S-1 filing in June. The firm generates approximately $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven increasingly by enterprise API usage now exceeding 40 percent of total—with growth outpacing historical benchmarks at comparable tech firms, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spending. Key variables for any closing valuation include broader equity market conditions, AI sector sentiment, successful execution on scaling, and potential shifts in monetary policy or risk appetite that could influence pricing multiples at debut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,519,963End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s path to an IPO continues to center on achieving a closing market capitalization near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s most recent private valuation reaching $852 billion in March 2026 after raising $122 billion. As of mid-August 2026, CFO Sarah Friar indicated to employees that a public listing is targeted for 2027 or potentially sooner if revenue growth persists, following the confidential S-1 filing in June. The firm generates approximately $2 billion in monthly revenue—driven increasingly by enterprise API usage now exceeding 40 percent of total—with growth outpacing historical benchmarks at comparable tech firms, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spending. Key variables for any closing valuation include broader equity market conditions, AI sector sentiment, successful execution on scaling, and potential shifts in monetary policy or risk appetite that could influence pricing multiples at debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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