This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Major AI labs are accelerating toward public markets amid a receptive 2026 IPO window and intense competition for capital to fund large language model development and infrastructure. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC in early June for a potential fall listing after raising funds at a roughly $900–965 billion valuation, while OpenAI has prepared its own filing and targets late 2026, with both companies citing needs for additional resources beyond private rounds. SpaceX is advancing plans that could debut as soon as mid-June at multitrillion-dollar scale, joined by Databricks eyeing H2 2026 and Stripe monitoring conditions without urgency. These moves reflect broader dynamics where demonstrated AI capabilities and revenue run rates are drawing public-market interest, though timelines remain subject to market volatility, regulatory reviews, and execution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Major AI labs are accelerating toward public markets amid a receptive 2026 IPO window and intense competition for capital to fund large language model development and infrastructure. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC in early June for a potential fall listing after raising funds at a roughly $900–965 billion valuation, while OpenAI has prepared its own filing and targets late 2026, with both companies citing needs for additional resources beyond private rounds. SpaceX is advancing plans that could debut as soon as mid-June at multitrillion-dollar scale, joined by Databricks eyeing H2 2026 and Stripe monitoring conditions without urgency. These moves reflect broader dynamics where demonstrated AI capabilities and revenue run rates are drawing public-market interest, though timelines remain subject to market volatility, regulatory reviews, and execution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 99%3%
SpaceX announced an IPO price of $135 per share on June 2, 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the company's position for the largest IPO ever, driving market confidence to near certainty.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for US IPO
Anthropic surges to 90%25%
Anthropic confidentially filed for an IPO on June 1, 2026, aiming to capitalize on strong investor interest in AI and growth stocks. The filing positioned Anthropic to potentially go public in late 2026, intensifying competition with OpenAI and boosting market optimism.
May 20 2026
SpaceX files for IPO revealing $18 billion revenue in 2025
SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history. The filing disclosed $18 billion in 2025 revenue, with Starlink as the main revenue driver, fueling market confidence in the IPO.
May 20 2026
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing targeting September 2026 debut
OpenAI surges to 74%46%
OpenAI is preparing to confidentially file for an IPO in May 2026, targeting a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $850 billion. This filing is part of a wave of major AI IPOs, increasing market anticipation.
May 20 2026
SpaceX publicly files IPO prospectus, targets June pricing
SpaceX rises to 98%3%
SpaceX publicly circulated its IPO prospectus in late May 2026, confirming plans for a June pricing and Nasdaq listing, reinforcing expectations for the largest IPO in history.
May 18 2026
Anthropic targets October 2026 IPO, hires law firm Wilson Sonsini
Anthropic surges to 88%18%
Anthropic is preparing for an IPO as early as October 2026, having hired Wilson Sonsini for legal and regulatory preparation, signaling serious intent to go public and boosting market confidence.
May 8 2026
Shein faces regulatory investigations and IPO delays amid valuation pressure
Shein's IPO timeline has been delayed due to regulatory investigations in Europe and the US, including data privacy and labor practice concerns. These challenges have pressured its valuation and complicated its planned Hong Kong or London IPO in 2026.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files IPO with SEC
SpaceX rises to 94%1%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC on April 1, 2026, officially starting the regulatory process for its planned June IPO, which boosted market confidence to near certainty.
Mar 31 2026
Whoop raises $575 million at $10.1 billion valuation signaling IPO ahead
WHOOP plunges to 30%20%
Whoop raised $575 million in a Series G funding round on March 31, 2026, valuing the company at $10.1 billion and signaling strong intent to pursue an IPO. The company reported positive cash flow in 2025 and significant membership growth, supporting IPO prospects.
Mar 31 2026
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment, IPO preparation ongoing
Databricks plunges to 20%19%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK on March 31, 2026, expanding its footprint and signaling ongoing IPO preparations. Despite no public S-1 filing yet, the company is expected to pursue an IPO in the second half of 2026.
Remote's market price peaked in mid-March 2026 amid speculation about potential IPO or acquisition, but no confirmed IPO filing or date has been announced, leading to declining confidence later.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI ahead of IPO
SpaceX jumps to 84%10%
SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, increasing its valuation to $1.25 trillion and integrating AI capabilities, which strengthened its IPO narrative and market valuation.
Jan 23 2026
Databricks secures $1.8 billion debt financing ahead of IPO
Databricks jumps to 58%13%
Databricks raised $1.8 billion in debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, signaling accelerated IPO preparations and strong institutional support for a 2026 public listing.
Jan 6 2026
Discord confidentially files for US IPO targeting Q1 2026 debut
Discord jumps to 62%9%
Discord confidentially filed for a US IPO in early January 2026, with plans to go public in Q1 2026. This filing ended years of speculation and positioned Discord as a key tech IPO candidate, reflected in a price increase in prediction markets.
Dec 9 2025
SpaceX pursues 2026 IPO raising over $30 billion
SpaceX surges to 80%42%
SpaceX announced plans to pursue an IPO in 2026 aiming to raise significantly above $30 billion, signaling the start of its public offering preparations and boosting market confidence in its IPO prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Major AI labs are accelerating toward public markets amid a receptive 2026 IPO window and intense competition for capital to fund large language model development and infrastructure. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC in early June for a potential fall listing after raising funds at a roughly $900–965 billion valuation, while OpenAI has prepared its own filing and targets late 2026, with both companies citing needs for additional resources beyond private rounds. SpaceX is advancing plans that could debut as soon as mid-June at multitrillion-dollar scale, joined by Databricks eyeing H2 2026 and Stripe monitoring conditions without urgency. These moves reflect broader dynamics where demonstrated AI capabilities and revenue run rates are drawing public-market interest, though timelines remain subject to market volatility, regulatory reviews, and execution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Major AI labs are accelerating toward public markets amid a receptive 2026 IPO window and intense competition for capital to fund large language model development and infrastructure. Anthropic confidentially filed with the SEC in early June for a potential fall listing after raising funds at a roughly $900–965 billion valuation, while OpenAI has prepared its own filing and targets late 2026, with both companies citing needs for additional resources beyond private rounds. SpaceX is advancing plans that could debut as soon as mid-June at multitrillion-dollar scale, joined by Databricks eyeing H2 2026 and Stripe monitoring conditions without urgency. These moves reflect broader dynamics where demonstrated AI capabilities and revenue run rates are drawing public-market interest, though timelines remain subject to market volatility, regulatory reviews, and execution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 99%3%
SpaceX announced an IPO price of $135 per share on June 2, 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the company's position for the largest IPO ever, driving market confidence to near certainty.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for US IPO
Anthropic surges to 90%25%
Anthropic confidentially filed for an IPO on June 1, 2026, aiming to capitalize on strong investor interest in AI and growth stocks. The filing positioned Anthropic to potentially go public in late 2026, intensifying competition with OpenAI and boosting market optimism.
May 20 2026
SpaceX files for IPO revealing $18 billion revenue in 2025
SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history. The filing disclosed $18 billion in 2025 revenue, with Starlink as the main revenue driver, fueling market confidence in the IPO.
May 20 2026
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing targeting September 2026 debut
OpenAI surges to 74%46%
OpenAI is preparing to confidentially file for an IPO in May 2026, targeting a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $850 billion. This filing is part of a wave of major AI IPOs, increasing market anticipation.
May 20 2026
SpaceX publicly files IPO prospectus, targets June pricing
SpaceX rises to 98%3%
SpaceX publicly circulated its IPO prospectus in late May 2026, confirming plans for a June pricing and Nasdaq listing, reinforcing expectations for the largest IPO in history.
May 18 2026
Anthropic targets October 2026 IPO, hires law firm Wilson Sonsini
Anthropic surges to 88%18%
Anthropic is preparing for an IPO as early as October 2026, having hired Wilson Sonsini for legal and regulatory preparation, signaling serious intent to go public and boosting market confidence.
May 8 2026
Shein faces regulatory investigations and IPO delays amid valuation pressure
Shein's IPO timeline has been delayed due to regulatory investigations in Europe and the US, including data privacy and labor practice concerns. These challenges have pressured its valuation and complicated its planned Hong Kong or London IPO in 2026.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files IPO with SEC
SpaceX rises to 94%1%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC on April 1, 2026, officially starting the regulatory process for its planned June IPO, which boosted market confidence to near certainty.
Mar 31 2026
Whoop raises $575 million at $10.1 billion valuation signaling IPO ahead
WHOOP plunges to 30%20%
Whoop raised $575 million in a Series G funding round on March 31, 2026, valuing the company at $10.1 billion and signaling strong intent to pursue an IPO. The company reported positive cash flow in 2025 and significant membership growth, supporting IPO prospects.
Mar 31 2026
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment, IPO preparation ongoing
Databricks plunges to 20%19%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK on March 31, 2026, expanding its footprint and signaling ongoing IPO preparations. Despite no public S-1 filing yet, the company is expected to pursue an IPO in the second half of 2026.
Remote's market price peaked in mid-March 2026 amid speculation about potential IPO or acquisition, but no confirmed IPO filing or date has been announced, leading to declining confidence later.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI ahead of IPO
SpaceX jumps to 84%10%
SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, increasing its valuation to $1.25 trillion and integrating AI capabilities, which strengthened its IPO narrative and market valuation.
Jan 23 2026
Databricks secures $1.8 billion debt financing ahead of IPO
Databricks jumps to 58%13%
Databricks raised $1.8 billion in debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, signaling accelerated IPO preparations and strong institutional support for a 2026 public listing.
Jan 6 2026
Discord confidentially files for US IPO targeting Q1 2026 debut
Discord jumps to 62%9%
Discord confidentially filed for a US IPO in early January 2026, with plans to go public in Q1 2026. This filing ended years of speculation and positioned Discord as a key tech IPO candidate, reflected in a price increase in prediction markets.
Dec 9 2025
SpaceX pursues 2026 IPO raising over $30 billion
SpaceX surges to 80%42%
SpaceX announced plans to pursue an IPO in 2026 aiming to raise significantly above $30 billion, signaling the start of its public offering preparations and boosting market confidence in its IPO prospects.
"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SpaceX" at 100%, followed by "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $6.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "SpaceX" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "IPOs before 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $6.5 million traded on “IPOs before 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "IPOs before 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "SpaceX" in the "IPOs before 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "SpaceX" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "IPOs before 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "IPOs before 2027?" market has an active community of 74 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "IPOs before 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
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