Skip to main content

Oil predictions & odds

·
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

2%

$28M Vol.

$2M today

$686K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 days

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

63%

↓ $90

$50M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

5

Ends in 5 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

38%

$2M Vol.

$318K today

$160K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

17%

$436K Vol.

$236K today

$97.7K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

66%

↓ $80

$12M Vol.

$115K today

$886K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

64%

$426K Vol.

$54.1K today

$145K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

11%

40+

$1M Vol.

$69.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

78%

25-49

$138K Vol.

$88.9K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

16%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$99.7K Liq.

83

Ends in 5 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

2%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$268K Liq.

139

Ends in 5 days

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

8%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

2%

$539K Vol.

$89.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

4%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

172

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

3%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

97

Ends in 5 days

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

9%

Ruwais Refinery

$515K Vol.

$306K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

68%

0-10

$156K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

61%

10+

$229K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

2%

325M

$514K Vol.

$70.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

12%

↑ $4.25

$357K Vol.

$98.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

5%

$111K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oil.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Oil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $110.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ $110. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.