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Oil predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

10%

$16M Vol.

$526K today

$500K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

70%

↓ $85

$25M Vol.

$508K today

$1M Liq.

25

Ends in 21 days

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

80%

↓ $85

$3M Vol.

$387K today

$771K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1%

$5M Vol.

$285K today

$521K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

27%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$942K Vol.

$191K today

$176K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

30%

$3M Vol.

$144K today

$181K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

23%

September 30

$4M Vol.

$123K today

$165K Liq.

135

Ends in 20 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 9?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 9?

100%

$86

$107K Vol.

$106K today

$257K Liq.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9?

<1%

Up

$87.9K Vol.

$87.9K today

$54.9K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

36%

20+

$126K Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

22%

December 31

$870K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

15

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

34%

United States

$129K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?

33%

↓ $85

$26.0K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

70%

0-10

$32.4K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

76%

25-49

$5.2K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%

$34.2K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

97%

350M

$112K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?

What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?

66%

>$84

$223K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

10%

June 30

$292K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

17

Ends in 20 days

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

31%

November 2

$15.7K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oil.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Oil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to ↓ $85. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.