Recent Middle East conflict since late February 2026 has driven volatility in crude benchmarks, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz triggering over 11 million barrels per day in regional production shut-ins and drawing down global inventories sharply. Prices surged above $100 per barrel earlier in the year before easing amid ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran, with current levels near $88–92 per barrel. Forecasts from the EIA anticipate elevated averages around $105 in the near term if disruptions persist, followed by declines toward $79 by 2027 upon gradual resumption of flows. Key variables include the pace of diplomatic progress on reopening shipping lanes, OPEC+ output decisions, and shifts in global consumption amid higher fuel costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$875,562 Vol.
2026/06/30
June 30
3%
September 30
17%
December 31
24%
$875,562 Vol.
June 30
$132,912 Vol.
3%
September 30
$165,980 Vol.
17%
December 31
$128,145 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East conflict since late February 2026 has driven volatility in crude benchmarks, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz triggering over 11 million barrels per day in regional production shut-ins and drawing down global inventories sharply. Prices surged above $100 per barrel earlier in the year before easing amid ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran, with current levels near $88–92 per barrel. Forecasts from the EIA anticipate elevated averages around $105 in the near term if disruptions persist, followed by declines toward $79 by 2027 upon gradual resumption of flows. Key variables include the pace of diplomatic progress on reopening shipping lanes, OPEC+ output decisions, and shifts in global consumption amid higher fuel costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$875,562終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East conflict since late February 2026 has driven volatility in crude benchmarks, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz triggering over 11 million barrels per day in regional production shut-ins and drawing down global inventories sharply. Prices surged above $100 per barrel earlier in the year before easing amid ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran, with current levels near $88–92 per barrel. Forecasts from the EIA anticipate elevated averages around $105 in the near term if disruptions persist, followed by declines toward $79 by 2027 upon gradual resumption of flows. Key variables include the pace of diplomatic progress on reopening shipping lanes, OPEC+ output decisions, and shifts in global consumption amid higher fuel costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$875,562終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East conflict since late February 2026 has driven volatility in crude benchmarks, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz triggering over 11 million barrels per day in regional production shut-ins and drawing down global inventories sharply. Prices surged above $100 per barrel earlier in the year before easing amid ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran, with current levels near $88–92 per barrel. Forecasts from the EIA anticipate elevated averages around $105 in the near term if disruptions persist, followed by declines toward $79 by 2027 upon gradual resumption of flows. Key variables include the pace of diplomatic progress on reopening shipping lanes, OPEC+ output decisions, and shifts in global consumption amid higher fuel costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問