Gold has traded in a volatile range near $4,040–$4,110 per ounce through late July 2026, after dropping sharply from January’s record above $5,600 and touching 2026 lows near $3,950 in June. Recent U.S. labor-market data, including softer payrolls and jobless claims, have tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting prices by easing pressure from rising real yields. The dollar and Treasury yields remain key benchmarks, while ongoing geopolitical tensions and central-bank buying continue to underpin demand. Upcoming releases on inflation, manufacturing PMI, and FOMC communications through early August represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,115,038 Vol.
↑ $4,600
No
↑ $4,500
No
↑ $4,400
No
↑ $4,300
No
↑ $4,200
Yes
↑ $4,100
Yes
↑ $4,000
Yes
↓ $3,900
No
↓ $3,800
No
↓ $3,700
No
↓ $3,600
No
↓ $3,500
No
↓ $3,400
No
↓ $3,300
No
$1,115,038 Vol.
↑ $4,600
No
↑ $4,500
No
↑ $4,400
No
↑ $4,300
No
↑ $4,200
Yes
↑ $4,100
Yes
↑ $4,000
Yes
↓ $3,900
No
↓ $3,800
No
↓ $3,700
No
↓ $3,600
No
↓ $3,500
No
↓ $3,400
No
↓ $3,300
No
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Gold has traded in a volatile range near $4,040–$4,110 per ounce through late July 2026, after dropping sharply from January’s record above $5,600 and touching 2026 lows near $3,950 in June. Recent U.S. labor-market data, including softer payrolls and jobless claims, have tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting prices by easing pressure from rising real yields. The dollar and Treasury yields remain key benchmarks, while ongoing geopolitical tensions and central-bank buying continue to underpin demand. Upcoming releases on inflation, manufacturing PMI, and FOMC communications through early August represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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