Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50.5% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling it out amid ample private funding exceeding $1.7 billion and a stable $20 billion valuation from September 2025 rounds. Recent acceleration in enterprise adoption of Perplexity's agentic tools—like Comet browser and Perplexity Computer, which orchestrate 19 large language models for task automation—has propelled annual recurring revenue past $500 million in April 2026, up 2.5x year-over-year with 100 million monthly active users, reducing public market urgency. Mid-cap outcomes like 40B–50B (13.2%) reflect private valuation multiples, while 100B+ (9.8%) bets on AI hype spillover; watch for Q2 funding signals or acquisition talks amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo IPO before 2028 51%
40B–50B 16.8%
50B–75B 10.4%
100B+ 9.8%
$130,589 Vol.
$130,589 Vol.
<20B
4%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
11%
50B–75B
10%
75B–100B
6%
100B+
10%
No IPO before 2028
51%
No IPO before 2028 51%
40B–50B 16.8%
50B–75B 10.4%
100B+ 9.8%
$130,589 Vol.
$130,589 Vol.
<20B
4%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
11%
50B–75B
10%
75B–100B
6%
100B+
10%
No IPO before 2028
51%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50.5% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling it out amid ample private funding exceeding $1.7 billion and a stable $20 billion valuation from September 2025 rounds. Recent acceleration in enterprise adoption of Perplexity's agentic tools—like Comet browser and Perplexity Computer, which orchestrate 19 large language models for task automation—has propelled annual recurring revenue past $500 million in April 2026, up 2.5x year-over-year with 100 million monthly active users, reducing public market urgency. Mid-cap outcomes like 40B–50B (13.2%) reflect private valuation multiples, while 100B+ (9.8%) bets on AI hype spillover; watch for Q2 funding signals or acquisition talks amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions