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Chat mga prediksiyon at odds

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ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

32%

April 24

$6.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

62%

$2.8K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

21%

$55.7K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

53%

50%+

$15.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

62%

60%+

$20.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

86%

December 31, 2026

$243K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

42

What will Google say during their next earnings call?

What will Google say during their next earnings call?

96%

YouTube

$2.1K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?

76%

ChatGPT

$440 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?

82%

Claude by Anthropic

$126 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

93%

1560

$2.3K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

95%

Anthropic

$120K Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

93%

Anthropic

$19.7K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

55%

Anthropic

$4.5K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

39%

OpenAI

$24.2K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

87%

1550

$5.9K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

91%

1525

$1.6K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

59%

Anthropic

$546 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

6%

$82.8K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

90%

Anthropic

$43.7K Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

70%

Anthropic

$10.1K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Chat.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 111 aktibong markets para sa Chat na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "ChatGPT Outage by...?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $662K sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "GPT-6 released by…?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "GPT-6 released by…?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 86% na tsansa sa December 31, 2026. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Chat predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.